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What the markets expect
Arsenal 65.2%
Next is Manchester City at 15.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Arsenal65.2%62.5%65.2% fair62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 27s ago63¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Arsenal65.2%Polymarket 62.5%(65.2% fair)polled, 27s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Arsenal
65.2%
62.5%
65.2% fair
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
63¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Arsenal
65.2%
Polymarket 62.5%(65.2% fair)polled, 27s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arsenal
- Last price
- 62.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 65.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
Manchester City15.1%14.5%15.1% fair14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 27s ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Manchester City15.1%Polymarket 14.5%(15.1% fair)polled, 27s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Manchester City
15.1%
14.5%
15.1% fair
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Manchester City
15.1%
Polymarket 14.5%(15.1% fair)polled, 27s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manchester City
- Last price
- 14.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 15.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $3.3M
Chelsea7.2%6.9%6.7¢ bid, 7.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago7.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)Chelsea7.2%Polymarket 6.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Chelsea
7.2%
6.9%
6.7¢ bid, 7.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
7.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Chelsea
7.2%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chelsea
- Last price
- 6.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,408 (14.1x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
Brighton5.9%5.7%5.4¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 27s ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Brighton5.9%Polymarket 5.7%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Brighton
5.9%
5.7%
5.4¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Brighton
5.9%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brighton
- Last price
- 5.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
Liverpool4.1%4%3.8¢ bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)Liverpool4.1%Polymarket 4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Liverpool
4.1%
4%
3.8¢ bid, 4.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
4.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Liverpool
4.1%
Polymarket 4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liverpool
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
Manchester United0.6%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Manchester United0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Manchester United
0.6%
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Manchester United
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manchester United
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
Aston Villa0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Aston Villa0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Aston Villa
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Aston Villa
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aston Villa
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $846K
Tottenham0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Tottenham0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Tottenham
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Tottenham
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tottenham
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
Brentford0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Brentford0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Brentford
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Brentford
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brentford
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $1.7M
Everton0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Everton0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Everton
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Everton
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Everton
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $804K
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Hull City0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Hull City0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Hull City
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Hull City
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hull City
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
Leeds United0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Leeds United0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Leeds United
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Leeds United
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leeds United
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
Newcastle United0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Newcastle United0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Newcastle United
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Newcastle United
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Newcastle United
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $975K
Bournemouth0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Bournemouth0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Bournemouth
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Bournemouth
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bournemouth
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
Coventry City0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Coventry City0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Coventry City
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Coventry City
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Coventry City
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $652K
Crystal Palace0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Crystal Palace0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Crystal Palace
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Crystal Palace
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Crystal Palace
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
Fulham0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Fulham0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Fulham
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Fulham
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fulham
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $602K
Ipswich Town0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ipswich Town0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ipswich Town
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ipswich Town
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ipswich Town
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $548K
Nottingham Forest0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Nottingham Forest0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nottingham Forest
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nottingham Forest
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nottingham Forest
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $752K
Sunderland0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 27s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Sunderland0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sunderland
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sunderland
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sunderland
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $787K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Arsenal
- Manchester City
- Chelsea
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "EPL: 2027 Champion". Arsenal leads at 65.2%. Next is Manchester City at 15.1%. $23.0M has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 30, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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