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What the markets expect
Erling Haaland 55.7%
Next is Alexander Isak at 10.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Erling Haaland55.7%66%55.7% fair66¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 46s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Erling Haaland55.7%Kalshi 66%(55.7% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Erling Haaland
55.7%
66%
55.7% fair
66¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Erling Haaland
55.7%
Kalshi 66%(55.7% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 66%
- Fair, margin removed
- 55.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $10K
Alexander Isak10.1%12%10.1% fair12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 46s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Alexander Isak10.1%Kalshi 12%(10.1% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Alexander Isak
10.1%
12%
10.1% fair
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Alexander Isak
10.1%
Kalshi 12%(10.1% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Isak
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $7K
Joao Pedro6.8%8%6.8% fair8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 46s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Joao Pedro6.8%Kalshi 8%(6.8% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Joao Pedro
6.8%
8%
6.8% fair
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Joao Pedro
6.8%
Kalshi 8%(6.8% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joao Pedro
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $17K
Kai Havertz3.4%4%3.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Kai Havertz3.4%Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kai Havertz
3.4%
4%
3.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kai Havertz
3.4%
Kalshi 4%(3.4% fair)polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kai Havertz
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Benjamin Sesko1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 46s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Benjamin Sesko1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Benjamin Sesko
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Benjamin Sesko
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Benjamin Sesko
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Cole Palmer1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 46s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cole Palmer1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Palmer
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Palmer
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Palmer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Antoine Semenyo0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Antoine Semenyo0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Antoine Semenyo
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Antoine Semenyo
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antoine Semenyo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $651
Bruno Fernandes0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bruno Fernandes0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bruno Fernandes
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bruno Fernandes
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bruno Fernandes
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bryan Mbeumo0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bryan Mbeumo0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryan Mbeumo
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryan Mbeumo
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryan Mbeumo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cody Gakpo0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cody Gakpo0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cody Gakpo
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cody Gakpo
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Gakpo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3
Show 23 more outcomesHide 23 outcomes
Dominic Calvert-Lewin0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dominic Calvert-Lewin0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Dominic Solanke0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dominic Solanke0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dominic Solanke
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dominic Solanke
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dominic Solanke
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $34
Eberechi Eze0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Eberechi Eze0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Eberechi Eze
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Eberechi Eze
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eberechi Eze
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $0
Evanilson0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Evanilson0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Evanilson
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Evanilson
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Evanilson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $0
Florian Wirtz0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Florian Wirtz0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Florian Wirtz
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Florian Wirtz
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florian Wirtz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6
Hugo Ekitike0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hugo Ekitike0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Ekitike
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Ekitike
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hugo Ekitike
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $57
Igor Thiago0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Igor Thiago0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Igor Thiago
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Igor Thiago
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Igor Thiago
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jean-Philippe Mateta0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jean-Philippe Mateta0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jean-Philippe Mateta
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jean-Philippe Mateta
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jean-Philippe Mateta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6
Matheus Cunha0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Matheus Cunha0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matheus Cunha
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Matheus Cunha
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matheus Cunha
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $170
Morgan Gibbs-White0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Morgan Gibbs-White0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Morgan Gibbs-White
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Morgan Gibbs-White
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Morgan Gibbs-White
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $0
Morgan Rogers0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Morgan Rogers0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Morgan Rogers
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Morgan Rogers
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Morgan Rogers
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Omar Marmoush0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Omar Marmoush0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Omar Marmoush
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Omar Marmoush
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Omar Marmoush
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $282
Pedro Neto0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pedro Neto0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pedro Neto
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pedro Neto
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pedro Neto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $36
Phil Foden0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Phil Foden0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phil Foden
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phil Foden
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phil Foden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $0
Rayan Cherki0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rayan Cherki0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rayan Cherki
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rayan Cherki
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rayan Cherki
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Richarlison0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Richarlison0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Richarlison
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Richarlison
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Richarlison
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8
Viktor Gyokeres0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Viktor Gyokeres0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Viktor Gyokeres
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Viktor Gyokeres
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Viktor Gyokeres
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Yoane Wissa0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yoane Wissa0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoane Wissa
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoane Wissa
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yoane Wissa
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Danny Welbeck0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Danny Welbeck0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Danny Welbeck
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Danny Welbeck
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Danny Welbeck
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Ismaila Sarr0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ismaila Sarr0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ismaila Sarr
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ismaila Sarr
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ismaila Sarr
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Liam Delap0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Liam Delap0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Delap
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Liam Delap
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liam Delap
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Mohammed Kudus0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mohammed Kudus0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mohammed Kudus
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mohammed Kudus
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mohammed Kudus
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Ollie Watkins0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 46s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ollie Watkins0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ollie Watkins
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ollie Watkins
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Watkins
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, Sky Sports, NBC Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Erling Haaland
- Alexander Isak
- Joao Pedro
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "EPL Golden Boot". Erling Haaland leads at 55.7%. Next is Alexander Isak at 10.1%. $68K has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 8, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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