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What the markets expect
Michael Carrick 93%
Next is Roberto De Zerbi at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Michael Carrick93%93%85¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 26s ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Michael Carrick93%Kalshi 93%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Michael Carrick
93%
93%
85¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Michael Carrick
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Carrick
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $228
Roberto De Zerbi84%84%No order bookpolled, 26s agoNo askRoberto De Zerbi84%Kalshi 84%polled, 26s ago
Roberto De Zerbi
84%
84%
No order book
polled, 26s ago
No ask
Roberto De Zerbi
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roberto De Zerbi
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $430
lvaro Arbeloa78%78%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 26s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)lvaro Arbeloa78%Kalshi 78%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
lvaro Arbeloa
78%
78%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
lvaro Arbeloa
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- lvaro Arbeloa
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $264
Pierre Sage72.5%72.5%68¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 26s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Pierre Sage72.5%Kalshi 72.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Pierre Sage
72.5%
72.5%
68¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Pierre Sage
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pierre Sage
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Oliver Glasner53%53%44¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 26s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Oliver Glasner53%Kalshi 53%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Oliver Glasner
53%
53%
44¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Oliver Glasner
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oliver Glasner
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $21
Frank Lampard42.5%42.5%38¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 26s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Frank Lampard42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Frank Lampard
42.5%
42.5%
38¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Frank Lampard
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Frank Lampard
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Gary O'Neil42.5%42.5%38¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 26s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Gary O'Neil42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Gary O'Neil
42.5%
42.5%
38¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Gary O'Neil
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gary O'Neil
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Enzo Maresca38%38%30¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 26s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Enzo Maresca38%Kalshi 38%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Enzo Maresca
38%
38%
30¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Enzo Maresca
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Enzo Maresca
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $9
Régis Le Bris35%35%26¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 26s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Régis Le Bris35%Kalshi 35%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Régis Le Bris
35%
35%
26¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Régis Le Bris
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Régis Le Bris
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $53
Matthias Jaissle30%30%21¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 26s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Matthias Jaissle30%Kalshi 30%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Matthias Jaissle
30%
30%
21¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Matthias Jaissle
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matthias Jaissle
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $21
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Unai Emery25.5%25.5%21¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 26s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Unai Emery25.5%Kalshi 25.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Unai Emery
25.5%
25.5%
21¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Unai Emery
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Unai Emery
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
David Moyes25%25%20¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 26s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)David Moyes25%Kalshi 25%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
David Moyes
25%
25%
20¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
David Moyes
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Moyes
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $200
Andoni Iraola23%23%14¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 26s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Andoni Iraola23%Kalshi 23%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Andoni Iraola
23%
23%
14¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Andoni Iraola
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andoni Iraola
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $4
Daniel Farke20.5%20.5%16¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 26s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Daniel Farke20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Daniel Farke
20.5%
20.5%
16¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Daniel Farke
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Farke
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Marco Rose18.5%18.5%14¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 26s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Marco Rose18.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Marco Rose
18.5%
18.5%
14¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Marco Rose
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marco Rose
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Sergej Jakirovic16.5%16.5%12¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 26s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Sergej Jakirovic16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Sergej Jakirovic
16.5%
16.5%
12¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Sergej Jakirovic
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sergej Jakirovic
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Keith Andrews14.5%14.5%10¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 26s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Keith Andrews14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Keith Andrews
14.5%
14.5%
10¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Keith Andrews
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keith Andrews
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Fabian Hürzeler12.5%12.5%8¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 26s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Fabian Hürzeler12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Fabian Hürzeler
12.5%
12.5%
8¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Fabian Hürzeler
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fabian Hürzeler
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Xabi Alonso12%12%8¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 26s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Xabi Alonso12%Kalshi 12%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Xabi Alonso
12%
12%
8¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Xabi Alonso
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Xabi Alonso
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $205
Mikel Arteta4%4%2¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 26s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Mikel Arteta4%Kalshi 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Mikel Arteta
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Mikel Arteta
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mikel Arteta
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $405
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Sky Sports, The Athletic
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Michael Carrick
- Roberto De Zerbi
- lvaro Arbeloa
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "EPL: Managers out before June 1, 2027". Michael Carrick leads at 93%. Next is Roberto De Zerbi at 84%. $2K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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