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What the markets expect
Mauricio Pochettino 87.5%
Next is Julian Nagelsmann at 6.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Mauricio Pochettino87.5%87.5%78¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Mauricio Pochettino87.5%Polymarket 87.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Mauricio Pochettino
87.5%
87.5%
78¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Mauricio Pochettino
87.5%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mauricio Pochettino
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $745
Julian Nagelsmann6.5%6.5%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Julian Nagelsmann6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Julian Nagelsmann
6.5%
6.5%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Julian Nagelsmann
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julian Nagelsmann
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Kieran McKenna5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Kieran McKenna5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kieran McKenna
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kieran McKenna
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kieran McKenna
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Xavi Hernandez5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Xavi Hernandez5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Xavi Hernandez
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Xavi Hernandez
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Xavi Hernandez
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Antonio Conte5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Antonio Conte5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Antonio Conte
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Antonio Conte
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antonio Conte
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Daniel Farke5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Daniel Farke5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Daniel Farke
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Daniel Farke
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daniel Farke
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
David Moyes5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)David Moyes5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
David Moyes
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
David Moyes
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- David Moyes
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Lionel Scaloni5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Lionel Scaloni5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Lionel Scaloni
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Lionel Scaloni
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lionel Scaloni
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Ralf Rangnick5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Ralf Rangnick5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ralf Rangnick
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ralf Rangnick
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ralf Rangnick
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Roberto Mancini5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Roberto Mancini5%Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Roberto Mancini
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Roberto Mancini
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Roberto Mancini
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Andoni Iraola4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Andoni Iraola4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Andoni Iraola
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Andoni Iraola
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andoni Iraola
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Brendan Rodgers4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Brendan Rodgers4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Brendan Rodgers
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Brendan Rodgers
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brendan Rodgers
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Carlo Ancelotti4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Carlo Ancelotti4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Carlo Ancelotti
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Carlo Ancelotti
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlo Ancelotti
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Eddie Howe4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Eddie Howe4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Eddie Howe
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Eddie Howe
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eddie Howe
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $18
Erik ten Hag4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Erik ten Hag4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Erik ten Hag
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Erik ten Hag
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erik ten Hag
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ole Gunnar Solskjaer4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ole Gunnar Solskjaer
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Sebastian Hoeness4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Sebastian Hoeness4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Sebastian Hoeness
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Sebastian Hoeness
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sebastian Hoeness
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Xabi Alonso4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Xabi Alonso4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Xabi Alonso
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Xabi Alonso
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Xabi Alonso
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Darren Fletcher4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Darren Fletcher4%Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Darren Fletcher
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Darren Fletcher
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Darren Fletcher
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Didier Deschamps4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Didier Deschamps4%Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Didier Deschamps
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Didier Deschamps
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Didier Deschamps
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Unai Emery4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Unai Emery4%Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Unai Emery
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Unai Emery
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Unai Emery
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Ange Postecoglou4%4%— bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, just now7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Ange Postecoglou4%Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Ange Postecoglou
4%
4%
— bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, just now
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Ange Postecoglou
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ange Postecoglou
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
Fabian Hurzeler4%4%— bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, just now7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Fabian Hurzeler4%Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Fabian Hurzeler
4%
4%
— bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, just now
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Fabian Hurzeler
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fabian Hurzeler
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
Luis Enrique4%4%— bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, just now7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Luis Enrique4%Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Luis Enrique
4%
4%
— bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, just now
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Luis Enrique
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luis Enrique
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
Diego Simeone3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Diego Simeone3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Diego Simeone
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Diego Simeone
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Diego Simeone
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Oliver Glasner3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Oliver Glasner3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Oliver Glasner
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Oliver Glasner
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oliver Glasner
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Thomas Tuchel3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Thomas Tuchel3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Thomas Tuchel
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Thomas Tuchel
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thomas Tuchel
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Wayne Rooney3.2%3.2%— bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, just now6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Wayne Rooney3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Wayne Rooney
3.2%
3.2%
— bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, just now
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Wayne Rooney
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Wayne Rooney
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
Gareth Southgate2.6%2.6%— bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, just now5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Gareth Southgate2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Gareth Southgate
2.6%
2.6%
— bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, just now
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Gareth Southgate
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gareth Southgate
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $339
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Mauricio Pochettino
- Julian Nagelsmann
- Kieran McKenna
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "EPL: Next Manchester United Manager". Mauricio Pochettino leads at 87.5%. Next is Julian Nagelsmann at 6.5%. $1K has traded across 29 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League and/or Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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