The Prediction Markets

EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

Closes
Jun 8, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$18K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Manchester United 47.5%

Next is Brighton & Hove Albion at 38.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Manchester United
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
Brighton & Hove Albion
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brighton & Hove Albion
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Brentford
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brentford
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Liverpool
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Aston Villa
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Newcastle United
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Newcastle United
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$402
Trade this on Polymarket
Hull City
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hull City
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nottingham Forest
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nottingham Forest
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Crystal Palace
13.7%
Polymarket 13.7%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 14.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $709 (7.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crystal Palace
Last price
13.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.1¢
Sell Yes
13.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$709 (7.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tottenham Hotspur
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tottenham Hotspur
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Fulham
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fulham
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Leeds United
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leeds United
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Chelsea
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chelsea
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sunderland
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sunderland
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ipswich Town
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ipswich Town
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester City
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Polymarket
Everton
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Everton
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$522
Trade this on Polymarket
Bournemouth
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bournemouth
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Coventry City
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coventry City
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$730
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Manchester United
  • Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brentford

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League". Manchester United leads at 47.5%. Next is Brighton & Hove Albion at 38.5%. $18K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 8, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Premier League season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Premier League league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Premier League standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled or postponed past June 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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