The Prediction Markets

Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

Closes
Dec 15, 2026, in 53 days
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
3 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Mobile Legends: Bang Bang 56.2%

Next is PUBG Mobile at 31.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Mobile Legends: Bang Bang 56.2%PUBG Mobile 31.5%Honor of Kings 6.3%Brawl Stars 5.8%Free Fire 0.1%Identity V 0.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Mobile Legends: Bang Bang
56.2%
Polymarket 62%(56.2% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mobile Legends: Bang Bang
Last price
62%
Fair, margin removed
56.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
PUBG Mobile
31.5%
Polymarket 34.8%(31.5% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $258 (2.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
PUBG Mobile
Last price
34.8%
Fair, margin removed
31.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
38.8¢
Sell Yes
30.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$258 (2.58x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Honor of Kings
6.3%
Polymarket 7%(6.3% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $730 (7.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Honor of Kings
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
13.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$730 (7.30x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brawl Stars
5.8%
Polymarket 6.5%(5.8% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $781 (7.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brawl Stars
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
12.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$781 (7.81x)
Volume
$606
Trade this on Polymarket
Free Fire
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Free Fire
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Identity V
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Identity V
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mobile Legends: Bang Bang
  • PUBG Mobile
  • Honor of Kings

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year". Mobile Legends: Bang Bang leads at 56.2%. Next is PUBG Mobile at 31.5%. $45K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game that wins Esports Mobile Game of the Year at the 2026 Esports Awards, scheduled to take place in Miami, Florida in November 2026. If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple games are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Esports Awards (esportsawards.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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