The Prediction Markets

Eternal Fire vs. JiJieHao

Starts in 3 h 48 minKickoff
Traded
$29K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Eternal Fire 55%

Next is Map 2 Winner at 52%. The venues differ most on JiJieHao (Polymarket 44.5%, Kalshi 46%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Eternal Fire
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eternal Fire
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Map 2 Winner
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$171
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Winner
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
JiJieHao
44.9%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 46%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
JiJieHao
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 45¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: hltv.org
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: B03, HLTV, Gamers World
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Eternal Fire
  • Map 2 Winner
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Eternal Fire for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Eternal Fire vs. JiJieHao". Eternal Fire leads at 55%. Next is Map 2 Winner at 52%. $29K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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