The Prediction Markets

Eternal Fire vs. Sinners

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$534K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

O/U 2.5 Games 100%

Next is Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 99.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

2 of 7 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
O/U 2.5 Games
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$392
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Eternal Fire
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eternal Fire
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sinners
41.4%
Polymarket 41.5%live, just nowKalshi 41%live, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Price
41.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$309K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sinners
Price
41%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 41¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 41¢.

Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$819
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$560
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 22, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kick.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: B03, HLTV, Gamers World
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 22, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 2.5 Games
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
  • Eternal Fire

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 2.5 Games for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Eternal Fire vs. Sinners". O/U 2.5 Games leads at 100%. Next is Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 99.5%. $534K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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