The Prediction Markets

Europa League Champion

Closes
Jun 9, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$305K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Bournemouth 13.9%

Next is SL Benfica at 11.2%. The venues differ most on Bournemouth (Polymarket 18.6%, Kalshi 11%), a 7.6-point gap.

Bournemouth 13.9%SL Benfica 11.2%Juventus 10.4%Leverkusen 8.8%Crystal Palace 5.4%33 others 50.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
BournemouthArb
13.9%
Polymarket 18.6%(14.9% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 11%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bournemouth
Last price
18.6%
Fair, margin removed
14.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
17.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bournemouth
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$932
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 13¢ and selling on Polymarket at 17.3¢ nets 430 bps before fees.

SL BenficaArb
11.2%
Polymarket 15%(12% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 10%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Benfica
Last price
15%
Fair, margin removed
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
SL Benfica
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 14¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Juventus
10.4%
Polymarket 12.5%(10% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 11%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juventus
Last price
12.5%
Fair, margin removed
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Juventus
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 12¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

Leverkusen
8.8%
Polymarket 11%(8.8% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 9%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
8.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Leverkusen
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$471
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10¢.

Crystal Palace
5.4%
Polymarket 7%(5.6% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crystal Palace
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Crystal Palace
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.

Stade Rennais
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Rennais
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Kalshi
Sunderland
4.9%
Polymarket 5.2%(4.2% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sunderland
Last price
5.2%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
4.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sunderland
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$475
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.5¢.

MilanArb
4.4%
Polymarket 6.5%(5.2% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milan
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Milan
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

BesiktasArb
3.9%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.4% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Besiktas
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Besiktas
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 110 bps before fees.

Real SociedadArb
3.7%
Polymarket 5%(4% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4.7¢ nets 70 bps before fees.

Show 28 more outcomes
LyonArb
3.4%
Polymarket 5.3%(4.2% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
5.3%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lyon
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.9¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

Celta VigoArb
2.9%
Polymarket 4.1%(3.2% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.8¢ nets 80 bps before fees.

OlympiacosArb
2.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 53s agoKalshi 7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olympiacos
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Olympiacos
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Ararat-Armenia
2%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 53s agoKalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ararat-Armenia
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ararat-Armenia
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Union GilloiseArb
1.5%
Polymarket 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Saint-Gilloise
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Union Gilloise
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.6¢ nets 160 bps before fees.

Alkmaar
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 53s agoKalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
AZ
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alkmaar
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Rennes
1.4%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Levski Sofia
1.3%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levski Sofia
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Levski Sofia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Hoffenheim
1.2%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hoffenheim
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Marseille
1.2%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marseille
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Lillestrom
1.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lillestrom
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lech Poznan
1%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lech Poznan
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lech Poznan
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

OFI Crete
0.9%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
OFI
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
OFI Crete
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$622
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.

Ferencvarosi
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferencvaros
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ferencvarosi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Omonia Nicosia
0.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Omonia
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Omonia Nicosia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Salzburg
0.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Red Bull Salzburg
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Salzburg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Anderlecht
0.5%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anderlecht
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Anderlecht
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Dinamo Zagreb
0.5%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dinamo Zagreb
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dinamo Zagreb
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sturm Graz
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sturm Graz
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sturm Graz
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Lillestroem
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lillestroem
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Celtic
0.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celtic
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Celtic
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Nijmegen
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
NEC
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nijmegen
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sparta Prague
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sparta Prague
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sparta Prague
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Torreense
0.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Torreense
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Torreense
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Be`er Sheva
0.3%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 53s agoKalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Be`er Sheva
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Jagiellonia
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jagiellonia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

NK Celje
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celje
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
NK Celje
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Plzen
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 53s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viktoria Plzen
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Plzen
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Bournemouth on Kalshi at 13¢, sell on Polymarket at 17.3¢ (430 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes at different times: May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 9, 2027, 10:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 9, 2027, 10:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bournemouth
  • SL Benfica
  • Juventus

Live prices for Bournemouth

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Europa League Champion". Bournemouth leads at 13.9%. Next is SL Benfica at 11.2%. $305K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 9, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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