The Prediction Markets

Eurovision 2027 Participants

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Canada 97.3%

Next is Austria at 97.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Canada
97.3%
Polymarket 97.3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 99.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Canada
Last price
97.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.2¢
Sell Yes
95.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Austria
97.2%
Polymarket 97.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Austria
Last price
97.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
95.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Polymarket
Moldova
97%
Polymarket 97%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Moldova
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.6¢
Sell Yes
95.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Italy
96.8%
Polymarket 96.8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Italy
Last price
96.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$736
Trade this on Polymarket
Germany
96.7%
Polymarket 96.7%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Germany
Last price
96.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
94.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$414
Trade this on Polymarket
Netherlands
95.8%
Polymarket 95.8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 97.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
95.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.6¢
Sell Yes
93.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
North Macedonia
93.1%
Polymarket 93.1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Macedonia
Last price
93.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
87.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Belgium
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Belgium
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Israel
87.6%
Polymarket 87.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 90.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Israel
Last price
87.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90.1¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Slovenia
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovenia
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Spain
16.4%
Polymarket 16.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 16.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $595 (5.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spain
Last price
16.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
15.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$896
Trade this on Polymarket
Kazakhstan
8.1%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kazakhstan
Last price
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ireland
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ireland
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: eurovision.tv

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Canada
  • Austria
  • Moldova

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Eurovision 2027 Participants". Canada leads at 97.3%. Next is Austria at 97.2%. $45K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2027 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) at the end of 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2027, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market. If no qualifying list is published by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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