The Prediction Markets

Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury Winner

Closes
Nov 15, 2026, in 10 days
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Malaysia 37.9%

Next is Laos at 14.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Malaysia 37.9%Laos 14.7%Mongolia 14.7%Philippines 10.3%Bhutan 4.7%6 others 17.7%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Malaysia
37.9%
Polymarket 46%(37.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malaysia
Last price
46%
Fair, margin removed
37.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Laos
14.7%
Polymarket 17.9%(14.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Laos
Last price
17.9%
Fair, margin removed
14.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Mongolia
14.7%
Polymarket 17.9%(14.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 34.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $287 (2.87x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mongolia
Last price
17.9%
Fair, margin removed
14.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
34.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$287 (2.87x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Philippines
10.3%
Polymarket 12.5%(10.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philippines
Last price
12.5%
Fair, margin removed
10.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$794
Trade this on Polymarket
Bhutan
4.7%
Polymarket 5.8%(4.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bhutan
Last price
5.8%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Thailand
4.5%
Polymarket 5.5%(4.5% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thailand
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Polymarket
Cambodia
4.1%
Polymarket 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cambodia
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Polymarket
Vietnam
4.1%
Polymarket 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vietnam
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$480
Trade this on Polymarket
South Korea
2.9%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Korea
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Polymarket
Nepal
1.9%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nepal
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Bangladesh
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bangladesh
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$222
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Malaysia
  • Laos
  • Mongolia

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury Winner". Malaysia leads at 37.9%. Next is Laos at 14.7%. $6K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the country ranked first by points received from the national juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below. Countries will be ranked according to the total number of points received from the national juries in the Grand Final. If two or more countries are tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the public vote. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked first under this ranking. If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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