The Prediction Markets

Eurovision Asia 3rd Place 2026

Closes
Nov 15, 2026, in 10 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Thailand 31.2%

Next is Vietnam at 18.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Thailand 31.2%Vietnam 18.3%South Korea 12.4%Malaysia 10.4%Philippines 6.4%6 others 21.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Thailand
31.2%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thailand
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Polymarket
Vietnam
18.3%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vietnam
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
South Korea
12.4%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Korea
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$322
Trade this on Polymarket
Malaysia
10.4%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malaysia
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$353
Trade this on Polymarket
Philippines
6.4%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philippines
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Nepal
5.4%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nepal
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$299
Trade this on Polymarket
Bhutan
4.9%
Polymarket 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bhutan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Cambodia
4.6%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cambodia
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Polymarket
Laos
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Laos
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Polymarket
Bangladesh
1.5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bangladesh
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket
Mongolia
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mongolia
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Thailand
  • Vietnam
  • South Korea

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Eurovision Asia 3rd Place 2026". Thailand leads at 31.2%. Next is Vietnam at 18.3%. $3K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 is scheduled for November 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the country ranked third in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, according to the ranking below. Countries will be ranked according to their official competition ranking in the Grand Final. If two or more countries share the same ranking, ties will be broken by the total number of points received. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the national juries. If still tied, ties will be broken by the total number of points received from the public vote. If still tied, ties will be broken alphabetically by English country name. This market will resolve according to the country ranked third under this ranking. If the results of the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 are not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/asia/), including live footage of Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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