The Prediction Markets

Eurovision Song Contest Asia Winner

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Philippines 94%

Next is Vietnam at 79%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Philippines
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Philippines
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Kalshi
Vietnam
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vietnam
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Kalshi
Republic of Korea
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Republic of Korea
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Thailand
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thailand
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Kalshi
Bhutan
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bhutan
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Kalshi
Laos
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Laos
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bangladesh
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bangladesh
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Malaysia
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malaysia
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Kalshi
Mongolia
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mongolia
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$171
Trade this on Kalshi
Nepal
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nepal
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Cambodia
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cambodia
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: MS Now, The Wall Street Journal, ABC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Philippines
  • Vietnam
  • Republic of Korea

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Eurovision Song Contest Asia Winner". Philippines leads at 94%. Next is Vietnam at 79%. $4K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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