The Prediction Markets

F1: Constructor to double podium at Chinese Grand Prix?

Closed
Mar 16, 2026
Traded
$65K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 16, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 223 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Mercedes
99.5%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5361 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Mercedes
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alpine
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alpine
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aston Martin
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Martin
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Audi
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Audi
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cadillac
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cadillac
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ferrari
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferrari
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Haas
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Haas
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
McLaren
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
McLaren
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing Bulls
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Bulls
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Red Bull Racing
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Red Bull Racing
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Williams
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5361 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Williams
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mercedes
  • Alpine
  • Aston Martin

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "F1: Constructor to double podium at Chinese Grand Prix?". Mercedes last traded at 99.5%. Next is Alpine at 0.1%. $65K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 16, 2026.

This market will resolve “Yes” if both of the participating drivers for the listed team finish in a top 3 position for the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If either participating driver does not finish for either reason (disqualification, injury, mechanical failure, etc.), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix is cancelled, postponed after March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if both drivers from the listed team have finished in podium places within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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