The Prediction Markets

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 QB Points Leader

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Josh Allen 61%

Next is Fernando Mendoza at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Josh Allen
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Darnold
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared Goff
49.8%
Polymarket 49.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
49.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Bryce Young
49.7%
Polymarket 49.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
49.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
C.J. Stroud
48.4%
Polymarket 48.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
48.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Herbert
46.3%
Polymarket 46.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
46.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Deshaun Watson
46.1%
Polymarket 46.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
46.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Patrick Mahomes
45.9%
Polymarket 45.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
45.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Purdy
45.8%
Polymarket 45.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
45.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 40 more outcomes
Jameis Winston
45.8%
Polymarket 45.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jameis Winston
Last price
45.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Fields
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Fields
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Trevor Lawrence
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamar Jackson
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Penix Jr.
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Dak Prescott
44.6%
Polymarket 44.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $113 (1.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
44.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$113 (1.13x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Burrow
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kirk Cousins
43.9%
Polymarket 43.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
43.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Ward
41.3%
Polymarket 41.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $121 (1.21x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
41.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$121 (1.21x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Hurts
12.6%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $402 (4.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$402 (4.02x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Shedeur Sanders
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $813 (8.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$813 (8.13x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Carson Beck
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carson Beck
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Jones
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,031 (10.3x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Baker Mayfield
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayden Daniels
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$473
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordan Love
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$707
Trade this on Polymarket
Bo Nix
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Geno Smith
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyler Shough
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Caleb Williams
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake Maye
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Matthew Stafford
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacoby Brissett
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$797
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyler Murray
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Tua Tagovailoa
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Rodgers
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik Willis
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$946
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthony Richardson Sr.
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Richardson Sr.
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
J.J. McCarthy
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.J. McCarthy
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Jake Browning
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jake Browning
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket
Jarrett Stidham
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jarrett Stidham
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Flacco
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Flacco
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Mac Jones
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mac Jones
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Marcus Mariota
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Mariota
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Mullens
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nick Mullens
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Howell
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Howell
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Tommy DeVito
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tommy DeVito
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Ty Simpson
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ty Simpson
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyson Bagent
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyson Bagent
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson Dart
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: espn.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Josh Allen
  • Fernando Mendoza
  • Sam Darnold

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Fantasy Football: 2026-27 QB Points Leader". Josh Allen leads at 61%. Next is Fernando Mendoza at 50%. $5K has traded across 50 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to the quarterback who finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) as the highest-scoring quarterback under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. If two or more players are tied for the most total PPR fantasy points, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that has a higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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