The Prediction Markets

FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Starts in 39 hKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

FC Augsburg 52.5%

Next is 1. FC Union Berlin at 24%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
FC Augsburg
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$929
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Union Berlin
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Union Berlin
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin)
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin)
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw 1-1
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1-1
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 2-1
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 2-1
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 2-2
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 2-2
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 1-0
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 1-0
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 2-0
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 2-0
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 3-1
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 3-1
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 2-1
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 2-1
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 23 more outcomes
FC Augsburg wins 3-0
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 3-0
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 3-2
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 3-2
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 1-0
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 1-0
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 0-0
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 0-0
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 2-0
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 2-0
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 3-3
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 3-3
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 4-0
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 4-0
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 4-1
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 4-1
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 4-2
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 4-2
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 3-1
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 3-1
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 3-2
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 3-2
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 5-1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 5-1
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 3-0
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 3-0
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 4-3
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 4-3
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 5-0
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 5-0
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg wins 5-2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
FC Augsburg wins 5-2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 4-0
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 4-0
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 4-1
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 4-1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 4-2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 4-2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 4-3
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 4-3
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 5-0
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 5-0
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 5-1
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 5-1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin wins 5-2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Union Berlin wins 5-2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bundesliga.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FC Augsburg
  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • Draw (FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list FC Augsburg for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin". FC Augsburg leads at 52.5%. Next is 1. FC Union Berlin at 24%. $3K has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between FC Augsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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