The Prediction Markets

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - Halftime Result

Starts in 2 daysKickoff
Traded
$2.8M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Both Teams To Score 77%

Next is Barcelona at 60%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 11 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Both Teams To Score
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Both Teams To Score
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$57K
Trade this on Kalshi
Barcelona
60%
Kalshi 60%live, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Price
60%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$668K
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Barcelona
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Barcelona
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Polymarket
Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Kalshi
Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid CF
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid CF
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tie
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$224K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: laliga.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Both Teams To Score
  • Barcelona
  • FC Barcelona

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Both Teams To Score for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - Halftime Result". Both Teams To Score leads at 77%. Next is Barcelona at 60%. $2.8M has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

In the upcoming La Liga game between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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