The Prediction Markets

FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026

Closes
Jan 7, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Zhu Jiner 98%

Next is Hou Yifan at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Zhu Jiner
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zhu Jiner
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Kalshi
Hou Yifan
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Hou Yifan
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Lei Tingjie
94.5%
Kalshi 94.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lei Tingjie
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ju Wenjun
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ju Wenjun
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Kalshi
Aleksandra Goryachkina
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aleksandra Goryachkina
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Kalshi
Tan Zhongyi
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tan Zhongyi
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Bibisara Assaubayeva
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bibisara Assaubayeva
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Divya Deshmukh
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Divya Deshmukh
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexandra Kosteniuk
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexandra Kosteniuk
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Anna Muzychuk
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anna Muzychuk
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Vaishali Rameshbabu
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vaishali Rameshbabu
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nana Dzagnidze
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nana Dzagnidze
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mariya Muzychuk
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mariya Muzychuk
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alina Kashlinskaya
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alina Kashlinskaya
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Anastasiia Hnatyshyn
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anastasiia Hnatyshyn
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Carissa Yip
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carissa Yip
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nino Batsiashvili
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nino Batsiashvili
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Polina Shuvalova
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Polina Shuvalova
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kateryna Lagno
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kateryna Lagno
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Kalshi
Koneru Humpy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Koneru Humpy
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIDE World Top Players

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Zhu Jiner
  • Hou Yifan
  • Lei Tingjie

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026". Zhu Jiner leads at 98%. Next is Hou Yifan at 97%. $5K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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