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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Saygid Izagakhmaev 11%
Next is Tony Ferguson at 11%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Saygid Izagakhmaev11%11%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Saygid Izagakhmaev11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Saygid Izagakhmaev
11%
11%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Saygid Izagakhmaev
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saygid Izagakhmaev
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $48
Tony Ferguson11%11%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Tony Ferguson11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Tony Ferguson
11%
11%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Tony Ferguson
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Ferguson
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $71
Bruno Lopes7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Bruno Lopes7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Bruno Lopes
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Bruno Lopes
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bruno Lopes
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Jennifer Maia7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Jennifer Maia7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jennifer Maia
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jennifer Maia
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jennifer Maia
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Lyman Good7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Lyman Good7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Lyman Good
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Lyman Good
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lyman Good
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Muhammad Mokaev7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Muhammad Mokaev7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Muhammad Mokaev
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Muhammad Mokaev
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Muhammad Mokaev
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Qileng Aori7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Qileng Aori7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Qileng Aori
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Qileng Aori
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qileng Aori
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Kamaru Usman6%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Kamaru Usman6%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kamaru Usman
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kamaru Usman
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kamaru Usman
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Michael Chandler5%5%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Michael Chandler5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Michael Chandler
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Michael Chandler
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Chandler
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
Sean O'Malley5%5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Sean O'Malley5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Sean O'Malley
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Sean O'Malley
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sean O'Malley
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Jake Paul4%4%4¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Jake Paul4%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jake Paul
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jake Paul
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Paul
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $3K
Amanda Serrano3%3%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Amanda Serrano3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Amanda Serrano
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Amanda Serrano
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amanda Serrano
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Floyd Mayweather Jr.3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Floyd Mayweather Jr.3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Floyd Mayweather Jr.
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Michael Page3%3%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Michael Page3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Michael Page
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Michael Page
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Page
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $70
Paulo Henrique Costa3%3%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Paulo Henrique Costa3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Paulo Henrique Costa
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Paulo Henrique Costa
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paulo Henrique Costa
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $20
Anthony Joshua2%2%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Anthony Joshua2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Anthony Joshua
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Anthony Joshua
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Joshua
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $20
Canelo Alvarez2%2%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Canelo Alvarez2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Canelo Alvarez
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Canelo Alvarez
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Canelo Alvarez
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $83
Charles Oliveira2%2%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Charles Oliveira2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Charles Oliveira
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Charles Oliveira
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Oliveira
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $20
Oleksandr Usyk2%2%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Oleksandr Usyk2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Oleksandr Usyk
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Oleksandr Usyk
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oleksandr Usyk
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $20
Ryan Garcia2%2%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ryan Garcia2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ryan Garcia
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ryan Garcia
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Garcia
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $20
Tyson Fury2%2%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Tyson Fury2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tyson Fury
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Tyson Fury
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyson Fury
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $86
Conor McGregor1%1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Conor McGregor1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Conor McGregor
1%
1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Conor McGregor
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conor McGregor
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $818
Gervonta Davis1%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Gervonta Davis1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Gervonta Davis
1%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Gervonta Davis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gervonta Davis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $615
Ilia Topuria1%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, just now5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ilia Topuria1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ilia Topuria
1%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, just now
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ilia Topuria
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ilia Topuria
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN, AP
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Saygid Izagakhmaev
- Tony Ferguson
- Bruno Lopes
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Fighters to compete in MVP MMA before 2027". Saygid Izagakhmaev leads at 11%. Next is Tony Ferguson at 11%. $16K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 8, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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