The Prediction Markets

Fire Flux Esports vs. FUT Esports

Starts in 6 hKickoff
Traded
$12K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Map 1 Winner 53%

Next is Map 2 Winner at 53%. The venues differ most on FUT Esports (Polymarket 49.5%, Kalshi 54%), a 4.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Map 1 Winner
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Winner
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FUT EsportsArb
50.6%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 16s agoKalshi 54%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
FUT Esports
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 50¢ and selling on Kalshi at 52¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

FUT Esports
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FUT Esports
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FUT Esports
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FUT Esports
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+2.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fire Flux Esports
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fire Flux Esports
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 2.5 Games
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy FUT Esports on Polymarket at 50¢, sell on Kalshi at 52¢ (200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: VALORANT Esports, Gamers World, BO3
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Map 1 Winner
  • Map 2 Winner
  • FUT Esports

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Map 1 Winner for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Fire Flux Esports vs. FUT Esports". Map 1 Winner leads at 53%. Next is Map 2 Winner at 53%. $12K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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