The Prediction Markets

First song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?

Closes
Feb 15, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
11 h ago
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What the markets expect

Public Service Announcement 36.5%

Next is Izzo (H.O.V.A.) at 15.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 11 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Public Service Announcement
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Public Service Announcement
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Izzo (H.O.V.A.)
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Izzo (H.O.V.A.)
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Polymarket
Jigga What, Jigga Who
14.2%
Polymarket 14.2%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jigga What, Jigga Who
Last price
14.2%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
14.2¢
Sell Yes
14.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$704 (7.04x)
Volume
$391
Trade this on Polymarket
Encore
9.2%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
Encore
Last price
9.2%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
13.2¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$758 (7.58x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Empire State of Mind
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Empire State of Mind
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
7.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Run This Town
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Run This Town
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Polymarket
N****s in Paris
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
N****s in Paris
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
No Church in the Wild
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Heart of the City (Ain't No Love)
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
99 Problems
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
99 Problems
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
9.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,087 (10.9x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 15 more outcomes
Dirt Off Your Shoulder
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dirt Off Your Shoulder
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Crazy in Love
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crazy in Love
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Can I Get A...
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Can I Get A...
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Show Me What You Got
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Show Me What You Got
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
03 Bonnie & Clyde
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
03 Bonnie & Clyde
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Big Pimpin'
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Big Pimpin'
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
No Church in the Wild
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
No Church in the Wild
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Holy Grail
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Holy Grail
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
On to the Next One
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
On to the Next One
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
God Did
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
God Did
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Apeshit
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Apeshit
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Umbrella
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Umbrella
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Drunk in Love
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drunk in Love
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Young Forever
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Young Forever
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Public Service Announcement
  • Izzo (H.O.V.A.)
  • Jigga What, Jigga Who

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "First song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?". Public Service Announcement leads at 36.5%. Next is Izzo (H.O.V.A.) at 15.5%. $4K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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