The Prediction Markets

First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?

Closes
Dec 26, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$436K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

None by December 25, 2026 90.6%

Next is Artificial Inu (AI) at 4.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

None by December 25, 2026 90.6%Artificial Inu (AI) 4.9%Cash Cat (CASHCAT) 3.4%The Black Bull (ANSEM) 1%NetNet (NET) 0.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
None by December 25, 2026
90.6%
Polymarket 91.5%(90.5% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
None by December 25, 2026
Last price
91.5%
Fair, margin removed
90.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$87K
Trade this on Polymarket
Artificial Inu (AI)
4.9%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Artificial Inu (AI)
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$129K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cash Cat (CASHCAT)
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cash Cat (CASHCAT)
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$84K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Black Bull (ANSEM)
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Black Bull (ANSEM)
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Polymarket
NetNet (NET)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
NetNet (NET)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$65K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: coingecko.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • None by December 25, 2026
  • Artificial Inu (AI)
  • Cash Cat (CASHCAT)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?". None by December 25, 2026 leads at 90.6%. Next is Artificial Inu (AI) at 4.9%. $436K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 26, 2026.

This event will resolve to the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this event and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no coin listed below reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by that time, this event will resolve to "None". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first. A momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting. Each coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for. The primary resolution source for this event will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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