The Prediction Markets

FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv

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Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

FK Polissia 86.2%

Next is Draw (FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv) at 13.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

FK Polissia 86.2%Draw (FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv) 13.7%FK Obolon Kyiv 0.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
FK Polissia
86.2%
Polymarket 100%(86.2% fair)polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
FK Polissia
Last price
100%
Fair, margin removed
86.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv)
13.7%
Polymarket 15.9%(13.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $314 (3.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv)
Last price
15.9%
Fair, margin removed
13.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$314 (3.14x)
Volume
$570
Trade this on Polymarket
FK Obolon Kyiv
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
FK Obolon Kyiv
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: upl.ua

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FK Polissia
  • Draw (FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv)
  • FK Obolon Kyiv

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv". FK Polissia leads at 86.2%. Next is Draw (FK Polissia vs. FK Obolon Kyiv) at 13.7%. $8K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between FK Polissia and FK Obolon Kyiv.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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