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What the markets expect
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored 92%
Next is Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored at 71%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored92%Not listed92%91¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 26s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored92%Kalshi 92%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored
92%
Not listed
92%
91¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $37K
Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored71%Not listed71%70¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 26s ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored71%Kalshi 71%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
71%
Not listed
71%
70¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $23K
CR Flamengo66.5%66.5%66¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 26s agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)CR Flamengo66.5%Polymarket 66.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
CR Flamengo
66.5%
66.5%
66¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
CR Flamengo
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- CR Flamengo
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $9K
Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored43%Not listed43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 26s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored43%Kalshi 43%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
43%
Not listed
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $26K
Draw (CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 26s agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Draw (CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Draw (CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Draw (CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored22%Not listed22%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 26s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored22%Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored
22%
Not listed
22%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $12K
Estudiantes de La Plata10.5%10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 26s agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Estudiantes de La Plata10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Estudiantes de La Plata
10.5%
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Estudiantes de La Plata
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $14K
Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored10%Not listed10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 26s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored10%Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
10%
Not listed
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored4%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 26s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored4%Kalshi 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 26s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: conmebollibertadores.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored
- Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
- CR Flamengo
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Flamengo vs Estudiantes La Plata: Regulation Time Total Goals". Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 92%. Next is Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored at 71%. $128K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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