The Prediction Markets

Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 5.80M 96%

Next is Above 6.20M at 94.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 5.80M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.80M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.20M
94.5%
Kalshi 94.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.20M
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.60M
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.60M
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 7.00M
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.00M
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 7.40M
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.40M
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 7.80M
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.80M
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8.10M
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8.10M
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8.50M
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8.50M
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$557
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8.90M
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8.90M
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Kalshi
7.75M-8M
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.75M-8M
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23.8¢
Sell Yes
20.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$420 (4.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Above 9.30M
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9.30M
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$714
Trade this on Kalshi
9M+
20.7%
Polymarket 20.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $469 (4.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
9M+
Last price
20.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21.3¢
Sell Yes
20.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$469 (4.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 10.10M
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.10M
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
8M-8.25M
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
8M-8.25M
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 9.70M
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9.70M
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10.50M
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.50M
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$305
Trade this on Kalshi
8.5M-8.75M
13.3%
Polymarket 13.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $437 (4.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5M-8.75M
Last price
13.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22.9¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$437 (4.37x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
7M
12.7%
Polymarket 12.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
7M
Last price
12.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$420 (4.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
7.5M-7.75M
11.8%
Polymarket 11.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $654 (6.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5M-7.75M
Last price
11.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15.3¢
Sell Yes
8.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$654 (6.54x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 10.90M
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.90M
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
8.75M-9M
8.6%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.75M-9M
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13.1¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$763 (7.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
7.25M-7.5M
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.25M-7.5M
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
8.25M-8.5M
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.25M-8.5M
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
7M-7.25M
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
7M-7.25M
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Florida Division of Elections

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 5.80M
  • Above 6.20M
  • Above 6.60M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 5.80M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 5.80M leads at 96%. Next is Above 6.20M at 94.5%. $23K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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