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What the markets expect
Moody, 1+ pts 91.4%
Next is Moody, 2+ pts at 90.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Moody, 1+ pts91.4%Not listed91.4%87¢ bid, 91.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago91.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Moody, 1+ pts91.4%Kalshi 91.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Moody, 1+ pts
91.4%
Not listed
91.4%
87¢ bid, 91.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
91.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Moody, 1+ pts
91.4%
Kalshi 91.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 91.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $100
Moody, 2+ pts90.5%Not listed90.5%88¢ bid, 90.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago90.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Moody, 2+ pts90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Moody, 2+ pts
90.5%
Not listed
90.5%
88¢ bid, 90.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
90.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Moody, 2+ pts
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $10K
Moody, 3+ pts84.5%Not listed84.5%81¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 1 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Moody, 3+ pts84.5%Kalshi 84.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Moody, 3+ pts
84.5%
Not listed
84.5%
81¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Moody, 3+ pts
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 84.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Moody, 4+ pts83%Not listed83%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 1 min ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Moody, 4+ pts83%Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Moody, 4+ pts
83%
Not listed
83%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Moody, 4+ pts
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $27K
Moody, 5+ pts79%Not listed79%72¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 1 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Moody, 5+ pts79%Kalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Moody, 5+ pts
79%
Not listed
79%
72¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Moody, 5+ pts
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $307
Moody, 6+ pts67%Not listed67%66¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 1 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Moody, 6+ pts67%Kalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Moody, 6+ pts
67%
Not listed
67%
66¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Moody, 6+ pts
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $49K
Moody, 7+ pts60%Not listed60%60¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 1 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Moody, 7+ pts60%Kalshi 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Moody, 7+ pts
60%
Not listed
60%
60¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Moody, 7+ pts
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $139
Moody, 8+ pts52%Not listed52%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Moody, 8+ pts52%Kalshi 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Moody, 8+ pts
52%
Not listed
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Moody, 8+ pts
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $32K
Moody, 9+ pts45%Not listed45%44¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Moody, 9+ pts45%Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Moody, 9+ pts
45%
Not listed
45%
44¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Moody, 9+ pts
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 9+ pts
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $100
Moody, 10+ pts39%Not listed39%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 1 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Moody, 10+ pts39%Kalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Moody, 10+ pts
39%
Not listed
39%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Moody, 10+ pts
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 10+ pts
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $33K
Show 27 more outcomesHide 27 outcomes
Moody, 11+ pts35%Not listed35%31¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 1 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Moody, 11+ pts35%Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Moody, 11+ pts
35%
Not listed
35%
31¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Moody, 11+ pts
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 11+ pts
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Moody, 12+ pts29%Not listed29%29¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 1 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Moody, 12+ pts29%Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Moody, 12+ pts
29%
Not listed
29%
29¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Moody, 12+ pts
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 12+ pts
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $31K
Moody 6-9%28%28%27¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Moody 6-9%28%Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Moody 6-9%
28%
28%
27¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Moody 6-9%
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 6-9%
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $5K
Moody 3-6%19.5%19.5%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Moody 3-6%19.5%Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Moody 3-6%
19.5%
19.5%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Moody 3-6%
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 3-6%
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $7K
Moody, 14+ pts15%Not listed15%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Moody, 14+ pts15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Moody, 14+ pts
15%
Not listed
15%
14¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Moody, 14+ pts
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 14+ pts
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $13K
Moody 9-12%14.5%14.5%14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Moody 9-12%14.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Moody 9-12%
14.5%
14.5%
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Moody 9-12%
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 9-12%
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $8K
Ashley Moody, 6-8%14%Not listed14%14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 6 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ashley Moody, 6-8%14%Kalshi 14%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ashley Moody, 6-8%
14%
Not listed
14%
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ashley Moody, 6-8%
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 6-8%
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $166
Ashley Moody, 8-10%14%Not listed14%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 6 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ashley Moody, 8-10%14%Kalshi 14%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ashley Moody, 8-10%
14%
Not listed
14%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ashley Moody, 8-10%
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 8-10%
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $166
Moody 0-3%13.8%13.8%13.2¢ bid, 14.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed14.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $699 (6.99x)Moody 0-3%13.8%Polymarket 13.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $699 (6.99x)
Moody 0-3%
13.8%
13.8%
13.2¢ bid, 14.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
14.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $699 (6.99x)
Moody 0-3%
13.8%
Polymarket 13.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $699 (6.99x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 0-3%
- Last price
- 13.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 13.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $699 (6.99x)
- Volume
- $4K
Ashley Moody, 10-12%13%Not listed13%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 6 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ashley Moody, 10-12%13%Kalshi 13%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ashley Moody, 10-12%
13%
Not listed
13%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ashley Moody, 10-12%
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 10-12%
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $166
Ashley Moody, ≥16%10%Not listed10%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 6 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Ashley Moody, ≥16%10%Kalshi 10%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ashley Moody, ≥16%
10%
Not listed
10%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ashley Moody, ≥16%
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, ≥16%
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $332
Ashley Moody, 4-6%9%Not listed9%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 6 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Ashley Moody, 4-6%9%Kalshi 9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Ashley Moody, 4-6%
9%
Not listed
9%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Ashley Moody, 4-6%
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 4-6%
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $332
Ashley Moody, 14-16%9%Not listed9%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 6 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ashley Moody, 14-16%9%Kalshi 9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ashley Moody, 14-16%
9%
Not listed
9%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ashley Moody, 14-16%
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 14-16%
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $166
Moody, 16+ pts8.7%Not listed8.7%6.8¢ bid, 8.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)Moody, 16+ pts8.7%Kalshi 8.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Moody, 16+ pts
8.7%
Not listed
8.7%
6.8¢ bid, 8.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Moody, 16+ pts
8.7%
Kalshi 8.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 16+ pts
- Last price
- 8.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,149 (11.5x)
- Volume
- $7K
Ashley Moody, 2-4%8%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 6 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ashley Moody, 2-4%8%Kalshi 8%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ashley Moody, 2-4%
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ashley Moody, 2-4%
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 2-4%
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $332
Ashley Moody, 12-14%8%Not listed8%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 6 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Ashley Moody, 12-14%8%Kalshi 8%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ashley Moody, 12-14%
8%
Not listed
8%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ashley Moody, 12-14%
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 12-14%
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $332
Nixon, 2+ pts6.9%Not listed6.9%3.2¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 6 min ago6.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Nixon, 2+ pts6.9%Kalshi 6.9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Nixon, 2+ pts
6.9%
Not listed
6.9%
3.2¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
6.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Nixon, 2+ pts
6.9%
Kalshi 6.9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nixon, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 6.9%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Moody, 18+ pts5.4%Not listed5.4%5.3¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)Moody, 18+ pts5.4%Kalshi 5.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Moody, 18+ pts
5.4%
Not listed
5.4%
5.3¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Moody, 18+ pts
5.4%
Kalshi 5.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moody, 18+ pts
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $2K
Moody 12-15%4.8%4.8%2.6¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed6.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Moody 12-15%4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Moody 12-15%
4.8%
4.8%
2.6¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
6.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Moody 12-15%
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 12-15%
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Nixon 0-3%4.6%4.6%2.2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Nixon 0-3%4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Nixon 0-3%
4.6%
4.6%
2.2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Nixon 0-3%
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nixon 0-3%
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Angie Nixon, ≥2%4%Not listed4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Angie Nixon, ≥2%4%Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Angie Nixon, ≥2%
4%
Not listed
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Angie Nixon, ≥2%
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angie Nixon, ≥2%
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $171
Angie Nixon, 0-2%4%Not listed4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Angie Nixon, 0-2%4%Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Angie Nixon, 0-2%
4%
Not listed
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Angie Nixon, 0-2%
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angie Nixon, 0-2%
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $166
Ashley Moody, 0-2%4%Not listed4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ashley Moody, 0-2%4%Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ashley Moody, 0-2%
4%
Not listed
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ashley Moody, 0-2%
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ashley Moody, 0-2%
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $166
Moody 15-18%4%4%1.2¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Moody 15-18%4%Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Moody 15-18%
4%
4%
1.2¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Moody 15-18%
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 15-18%
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nixon 3%+1.7%1.7%0.4¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Nixon 3%+1.7%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Nixon 3%+
1.7%
1.7%
0.4¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Nixon 3%+
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nixon 3%+
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Moody 18-21%1.3%1.3%0.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Moody 18-21%1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Moody 18-21%
1.3%
1.3%
0.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Moody 18-21%
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 18-21%
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $906
Moody 21%+1%1%0.3¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Moody 21%+1%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Moody 21%+
1%
1%
0.3¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Moody 21%+
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moody 21%+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $977
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Florida Division of Elections
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Moody, 1+ pts
- Moody, 2+ pts
- Moody, 3+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Moody, 1+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Florida Senate: margin of victory". Moody, 1+ pts leads at 91.4%. Next is Moody, 2+ pts at 90.5%. $248K has traded across 37 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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