This market has closed
Trading ended on May 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 197 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
1M100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4742 h agoNo ask1M100%Polymarket 100%polled, 4742 h ago
- Contract
- 1M
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $27K
2M57.5%57.5%56¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)2M57.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
- Contract
- 2M
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $24K
14M37.5%37.5%2¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)14M37.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
- Contract
- 14M
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $177
18M36%36%— bid, 72¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago72¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $139 (1.39x)18M36%Polymarket 36%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
- Contract
- 18M
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $184
50M34.5%34.5%— bid, 69¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)50M34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
- Contract
- 50M
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $178
3M29%29%26¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)3M29%Polymarket 29%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
- Contract
- 3M
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $8K
80M22%22%1¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)80M22%Polymarket 22%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
- Contract
- 80M
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $484
16M21.5%21.5%— bid, 43¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)16M21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
- Contract
- 16M
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $296
60M21.5%21.5%— bid, 43¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)60M21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
- Contract
- 60M
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $199
4M14.5%14.5%11¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)4M14.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
- Contract
- 4M
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $8K
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
100M11.9%11.9%0.2¢ bid, 23.5¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago23.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $426 (4.26x)100M11.9%Polymarket 11.9%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 23.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $426 (4.26x)
- Contract
- 100M
- Last price
- 11.9%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 23.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $426 (4.26x)
- Volume
- $657
30M7.2%7.2%0.7¢ bid, 13.7¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago13.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $730 (7.30x)30M7.2%Polymarket 7.2%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 13.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $730 (7.30x)
- Contract
- 30M
- Last price
- 7.2%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $730 (7.30x)
- Volume
- $468
8M7%7%4.6¢ bid, 9.4¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago9.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,064 (10.6x)8M7%Polymarket 7%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 9.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,064 (10.6x)
- Contract
- 8M
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,064 (10.6x)
- Volume
- $6K
6M6.6%6.6%6.5¢ bid, 6.6¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago6.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)6M6.6%Polymarket 6.6%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
- Contract
- 6M
- Last price
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,515 (15.2x)
- Volume
- $19K
150M4.8%4.8%0.2¢ bid, 9.4¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago9.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,064 (10.6x)150M4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 9.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,064 (10.6x)
- Contract
- 150M
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,064 (10.6x)
- Volume
- $425
10M4.6%4.6%3.3¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)10M4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
- Contract
- 10M
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
12M4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)12M4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
- Contract
- 12M
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $184
20M2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)20M2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
- Contract
- 20M
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $205
25M2%2%0.3¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)25M2%Polymarket 2%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
- Contract
- 25M
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $203
35M1.6%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)35M1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
- Contract
- 35M
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $172
40M1.5%1.5%0.2¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)40M1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
- Contract
- 40M
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $178
200M0.7%0.7%0.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 4742 h ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)200M0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4742 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
- Contract
- 200M
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 197 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $413
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 1M
- 2M
- 14M
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Fluent public sale total commitments?". 1M last traded at 100%. Next is 2M at 57.5%. $101K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Fluent raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Fluent raise page available at: https://sale.fluent.xyz/ If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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