The Prediction Markets

Frodin vs Brengle

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

Madison Brengle 89%

Next is Set Handicap: Madison Brengle (-1.5) vs Thea Frodin (+1.5) at 50%. The venues differ most on Frodin (Polymarket 14%, Kalshi 11%), a 3.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Madison Brengle
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Madison Brengle
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$111
Trade this on Kalshi
Set Handicap: Madison Brengle (-1.5) vs Thea Frodin (+1.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Madison Brengle (-1.5) vs Thea Frodin (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Set Handicap: Thea Frodin (-1.5) vs Madison Brengle (+1.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Thea Frodin (-1.5) vs Madison Brengle (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Frodin
11.8%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
W50 Austin: Thea Frodin vs Madison Brengle
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thea Frodin
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 1 h old: Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Indicative gap, prices are 1 h old: Frodin asks 12¢ on Kalshi and bids 13¢ on Polymarket (100 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 29, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 5, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: itftennis.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ITF, ESPN, Flashscore
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 29, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 5, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Madison Brengle
  • Set Handicap: Madison Brengle (-1.5) vs Thea Frodin (+1.5)
  • Set Handicap: Thea Frodin (-1.5) vs Madison Brengle (+1.5)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Madison Brengle for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Frodin vs Brengle". Madison Brengle leads at 89%. Next is Set Handicap: Madison Brengle (-1.5) vs Thea Frodin (+1.5) at 50%. $10K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 5, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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