The Prediction Markets

Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$58K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 11M 99%

Next is Above 12M at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 11M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 16M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 17M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 17M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
80¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 18M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 18M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
80¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 20M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 19M
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 19M
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Above 21M
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21M
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 22M
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22M
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$473
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 23M
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 23M
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25M
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25M
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 24M
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 24M
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
25M
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
25M
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
24M
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
24M
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
26M
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
26M
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
27M
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
27M
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: charts.youtube.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 11M
  • Above 12M
  • Above 13M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 11M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)". Above 11M leads at 99%. Next is Above 12M at 99%. $58K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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