The Prediction Markets

Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC

Starts in 6 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Tamworth FC 58.4%

Next is Draw (Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC) at 21.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Tamworth FC 58.4%Draw (Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC) 21.3%Gateshead FC 20.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Tamworth FC
58.4%
Polymarket 59%(58.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tamworth FC
Last price
59%
Fair, margin removed
58.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$864
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC)
21.3%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC)
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gateshead FC
20.3%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gateshead FC
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$330
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: thenationalleague.org.uk

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tamworth FC
  • Draw (Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC)
  • Gateshead FC

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC". Tamworth FC leads at 58.4%. Next is Draw (Gateshead FC vs. Tamworth FC) at 21.3%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming National League game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between Gateshead FC and Tamworth FC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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