The Prediction Markets

Genesis Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Closes
Nov 8, 2026, in 16 days
Traded
$504K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Casey Jarvis 99.7%

Next is Frederic Lacroix at 2%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Casey Jarvis
99.7%
Kalshi 99.7%polled, just now
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
99.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.7¢
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Frederic Lacroix
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian Otaegui
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Albin Bergstrom
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Albin Bergstrom
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alejandro Del Rey
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Angel Hidalgo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Antoine Rozner
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brandon Kewalramani
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Kewalramani
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Bradbury
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 115 more outcomes
Felix Mory
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Felix Mory
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jens Dantorp
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jens Dantorp
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jorge Campillo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Junghun Park
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Junghun Park
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kazuma Kobori
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kazuma Kobori
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Manuel Elvira
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus Kinhult
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Kinhult
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Martin Couvra
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikael Lindberg
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nathan Kimsey
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rikuya Hoshino
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rikuya Hoshino
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Robin Williams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Robin Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Fox
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Fox
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sangyeop Lee
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sangyeop Lee
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Scott Jamieson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean Crocker
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sean Crocker
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seungbin Choi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seungbin Choi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shaun Norris
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wooyoung Cho
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wooyoung Cho
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Zhou Yanhan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zhou Yanhan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$285
Trade this on Kalshi
Darius Van Driel
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Darius Van Driel
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Skov Olesen
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sanghun Shin
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sanghun Shin
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Si Woo Kim
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Si Woo Kim
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Angel Ayora Fanegas
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashun Wu
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashun Wu
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Renato Paratore
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Renato Paratore
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yuto Katsuragawa
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chanwoo Kim
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chanwoo Kim
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
David Law
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Law
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
David Ravetto
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Ravetto
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Filippo Celli
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Francesco Laporta
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gregorio De Leo
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$826
Trade this on Kalshi
Jack Senior
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jack Senior
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaehyun Jung
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaehyun Jung
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jinho Choi
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jinho Choi
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$655
Trade this on Kalshi
Joakim Lagergren
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joel Girrbach
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joel Girrbach
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Gumberg
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matteo Manassero
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matteo Manassero
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi
Maximilian Steinlechner
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maximilian Steinlechner
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$352
Trade this on Kalshi
Niklas Lemke
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Lemke
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$444
Trade this on Kalshi
Pablo Larrazabal
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pablo Larrazabal
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ross Fisher
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ross Fisher
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sangyeop Lee
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sang-hee Lee
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Stefano Mazzoli
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sungjae Im
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sungjae Im
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Donghyun Moon
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Donghyun Moon
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Kalshi
Minhyuk Song
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minhyuk Song
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacho Elvira
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rafa Cabrera Bello
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Rodrigues
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sebastian Rodriguez Garcia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sebastian Rodriguez Garcia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Sung-Kug Park
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sung-Kug Park
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ben Schmidt
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Schmidt
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chan Choi
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chan Choi
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chanmin Jung
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chanmin Jung
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
David Micheluzzi
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Micheluzzi
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Doyeob Mun
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Doyeob Mun
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Euan Walker
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Euan Walker
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eunshin Park
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eunshin Park
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hanmil Jung
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hanmil Jung
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hongtaek Kim
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hongtaek Kim
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hugo Townsend
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hugo Townsend
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Il-Hwan Park
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Il-Hwan Park
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacques Kruyswijk
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacques Kruyswijk
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
James Morrison
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Morrison
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jason Scrivener
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Scrivener
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minchel Choi
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Min-Gyu Cho
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Quim Vidal
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quim Vidal
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ricardo Gouveia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sangyeop Lee
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Soo-Min Lee
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sebastian Soderberg
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sebastian Soderberg
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Seung-Taek Oh
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seung-Taek Oh
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shubhankar Sharma
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shubhankar Sharma
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Taehoon Ok
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taehoon Ok
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Teayang Jung
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Teayang Jung
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tobias Jonsson
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tobias Jonsson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wenyi Ding
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Woo Hyun Kim
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Woo Hyun Kim
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yongjun Bae
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yongjun Bae
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yubin Jang
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yubin Jang
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yurav Premlall
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zander Lombard
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zander Lombard
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Young
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Young
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hyungjoon Lee
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hyungjoon Lee
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$935
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Bairstow
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ugo Coussaud
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$389
Trade this on Kalshi
Elvis Smylie
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elvis Smylie
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
In-Hoi Hur
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
In-Hoi Hur
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ivan Cantero Gutierrez
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ivan Cantero Gutierrez
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeunghun Wang
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeunghun Wang
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jiho Yang
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jiho Yang
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcel Siem
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcel Siem
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Richard Sterne
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Adam
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameron Adam
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
JaeWoong Eom
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
JaeWoong Eom
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeong-Weon Ko
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeong-Weon Ko
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andreas Halvorsen
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andreas Halvorsen
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dylan Naidoo
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Naidoo
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minchel Choi
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minchel Choi
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minjun Kim
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minjun Kim
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Hillier
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Johannes Veerman
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Johannes Veerman
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Junghwan Lee
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Junghwan Lee
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kota Kaneko
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryggs Johnston
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryggs Johnston
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Thomas Detry
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thomas Detry
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
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$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Casey Jarvis
  • Frederic Lacroix
  • Adrian Otaegui

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Genesis Championship End of Round 1 Leader". Casey Jarvis leads at 99.7%. Next is Frederic Lacroix at 2%. $504K has traded across 125 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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