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What the markets expect
William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points 61.5%
Next is William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points at 45%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points61.5%61.5%59¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 4 min ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points61.5%Kalshi 61.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points
61.5%
61.5%
59¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points
61.5%
Kalshi 61.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points45%45%44¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 4 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points
45%
45%
44¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
William & Mary wins by over 10.5 points35.5%35.5%34¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 4 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)William & Mary wins by over 10.5 points35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
William & Mary wins by over 10.5 points
35.5%
35.5%
34¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
William & Mary wins by over 10.5 points
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Georgetown wins by over 1.5 points32%32%30¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 4 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Georgetown wins by over 1.5 points32%Kalshi 32%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Georgetown wins by over 1.5 points
32%
32%
30¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Georgetown wins by over 1.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgetown wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
William & Mary wins by over 14.5 points28%28%26¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 4 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)William & Mary wins by over 14.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
William & Mary wins by over 14.5 points
28%
28%
26¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
William & Mary wins by over 14.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
William & Mary wins by over 18.5 points22%22%15¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 4 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)William & Mary wins by over 18.5 points22%Kalshi 22%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
William & Mary wins by over 18.5 points
22%
22%
15¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
William & Mary wins by over 18.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 18.5 points
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Georgetown wins by over 5.5 points21.5%21.5%15¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 4 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Georgetown wins by over 5.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Georgetown wins by over 5.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
15¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Georgetown wins by over 5.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgetown wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
William & Mary wins by over 22.5 points16.5%16.5%7¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 4 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)William & Mary wins by over 22.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
William & Mary wins by over 22.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
7¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
William & Mary wins by over 22.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 22.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Georgetown wins by over 9.5 points14.5%14.5%7¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 4 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Georgetown wins by over 9.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Georgetown wins by over 9.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
7¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Georgetown wins by over 9.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgetown wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
William & Mary wins by over 26.5 points13.5%13.5%6¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 4 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)William & Mary wins by over 26.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
William & Mary wins by over 26.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
6¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
William & Mary wins by over 26.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 26.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Show 3 more outcomesHide 3 outcomes
Georgetown wins by over 13.5 points11.5%11.5%3¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 4 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Georgetown wins by over 13.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Georgetown wins by over 13.5 points
11.5%
11.5%
3¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Georgetown wins by over 13.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgetown wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
William & Mary wins by over 30.5 points9.5%9.5%5¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 4 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)William & Mary wins by over 30.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
William & Mary wins by over 30.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
5¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
William & Mary wins by over 30.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William & Mary wins by over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Georgetown wins by over 17.5 points8.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Georgetown wins by over 17.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Georgetown wins by over 17.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Georgetown wins by over 17.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgetown wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points
- William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points
- William & Mary wins by over 10.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Georgetown vs William & Mary: Spread". William & Mary wins by over 2.5 points leads at 61.5%. Next is William & Mary wins by over 6.5 points at 45%. $2K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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