The Prediction Markets

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$45K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Attorney General 97%

Next is Lieutenant Governor at 95.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Attorney General
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Attorney General
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$567
Trade this on Kalshi
Lieutenant Governor
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 95.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lieutenant Governor
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.5¢
Sell Yes
94.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Commissioner of Insurance
94.8%
Kalshi 94.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 94.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Commissioner of Insurance
Last price
94.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.8¢
Sell Yes
94.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Secretary of State
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Secretary of State
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.4¢
Sell Yes
90.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Senate
91.2%
Kalshi 91.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 94.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Senate
Last price
91.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.6¢
Sell Yes
91.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Governor
90.2%
Kalshi 90.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 94.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Governor
Last price
90.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.3¢
Sell Yes
90.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Commissioner of Agriculture
90.1%
Kalshi 90.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 96.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Commissioner of Agriculture
Last price
90.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.2¢
Sell Yes
90.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$871
Trade this on Kalshi
Commissioner of Labor
90.1%
Kalshi 90.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 94.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Commissioner of Labor
Last price
90.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.2¢
Sell Yes
90.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Kalshi
State Superintendent of Schools
90.1%
Kalshi 90.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 93.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
Kalshi
Contract
State Superintendent of Schools
Last price
90.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93.7¢
Sell Yes
90.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$107 (1.07x)
Volume
$392
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Georgia Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Attorney General
  • Lieutenant Governor
  • Commissioner of Insurance

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?". Attorney General leads at 97%. Next is Lieutenant Governor at 95.5%. $45K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets