Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kai Havertz33%33%31¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Kai Havertz33%Kalshi 33%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kai Havertz
33%
33%
31¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kai Havertz
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kai Havertz
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jamal Musiala32%32%1¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Jamal Musiala32%Kalshi 32%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Jamal Musiala
32%
32%
1¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Jamal Musiala
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamal Musiala
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $1K
Deniz Undav19%19%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Deniz Undav19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Deniz Undav
19%
19%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Deniz Undav
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deniz Undav
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $334
Felix Nmecha17%17%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Felix Nmecha17%Kalshi 17%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Felix Nmecha
17%
17%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Felix Nmecha
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Felix Nmecha
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $135
Nick Woltemade17%17%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Nick Woltemade17%Kalshi 17%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Nick Woltemade
17%
17%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Nick Woltemade
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Woltemade
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $628
Leroy Sane15%15%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Leroy Sane15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Leroy Sane
15%
15%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Leroy Sane
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leroy Sane
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $563
Florian Wirtz14%14%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Florian Wirtz14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Florian Wirtz
14%
14%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Florian Wirtz
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florian Wirtz
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $2K
Joshua Kimmich8%8%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Joshua Kimmich8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Joshua Kimmich
8%
8%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Joshua Kimmich
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joshua Kimmich
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $51
Maximilian Beier7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Maximilian Beier7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Maximilian Beier
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Maximilian Beier
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maximilian Beier
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Jamie Leweling6%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Jamie Leweling6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Jamie Leweling
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Jamie Leweling
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamie Leweling
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Leon Goretzka6%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Leon Goretzka6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Leon Goretzka
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Leon Goretzka
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leon Goretzka
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Nadiem Amiri5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Nadiem Amiri5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Nadiem Amiri
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Nadiem Amiri
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nadiem Amiri
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Pascal Gross5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Pascal Gross5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Pascal Gross
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Pascal Gross
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pascal Gross
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Aleksandar Pavlovic4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Aleksandar Pavlovic4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Aleksandar Pavlovic
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Aleksandar Pavlovic
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aleksandar Pavlovic
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Angelo Stiller4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Angelo Stiller4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Angelo Stiller
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Angelo Stiller
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angelo Stiller
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Nico Schlotterbeck4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Nico Schlotterbeck4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Nico Schlotterbeck
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Nico Schlotterbeck
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Schlotterbeck
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Antonio Rudiger4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Antonio Rudiger4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Antonio Rudiger
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Antonio Rudiger
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antonio Rudiger
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $23
David Raum4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)David Raum4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
David Raum
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
David Raum
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Raum
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Jonathan Tah4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Jonathan Tah4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jonathan Tah
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Jonathan Tah
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Tah
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Lennart Karl4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lennart Karl4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lennart Karl
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lennart Karl
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lennart Karl
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Malick Thiaw4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Malick Thiaw4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Malick Thiaw
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Malick Thiaw
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malick Thiaw
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Nathaniel Brown4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Nathaniel Brown4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Nathaniel Brown
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Nathaniel Brown
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nathaniel Brown
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Waldemar Anton4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Waldemar Anton4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Waldemar Anton
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Waldemar Anton
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Waldemar Anton
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
No Goalscorer2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)No Goalscorer2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
No Goalscorer
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
No Goalscorer
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kai Havertz
- Jamal Musiala
- Deniz Undav
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Germany: Goal Leader". Kai Havertz last traded at 33%. Next is Jamal Musiala at 32%. $8K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.7%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco17%$196.4M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee69.9%$134.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia17%$64.1M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City24%$45.7M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen29%$36.9M traded