The Prediction Markets

Get-in price of the World Cup Final?

Closed
Jul 18, 2026
Traded
$26K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 18, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $4500
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4500
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5000
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5000
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5500
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5500
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6500
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6500
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6000
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6000
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $7500
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $7500
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $9000
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $9000
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $7000
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $7000
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $9500
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $9500
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $8500
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $8500
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$659
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Above $8000
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $8000
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $10000
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $10000
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$607
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $10500
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $10500
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $11500
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $11500
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $11000
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $11000
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $12000
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $12000
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: TicketData

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $4500
  • Above $5000
  • Above $5500

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Get-in price of the World Cup Final?". Above $4500 last traded at 97%. Next is Above $5000 at 96%. $26K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 18, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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