The Prediction Markets

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen: Total Goals

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$25K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5 100%

Next is O/U 0.5 at 100%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 33s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 0.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 0.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 33s ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 0.5 goals scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 33s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Over 0.5 goals scored
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 1.5 goals scored
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 1.5 goals scored
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 33s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
34¢
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 0.5
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 0.5
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-3.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-3.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-4.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-4.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 45 more outcomes
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-5.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-5.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 8.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 8.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Both Teams to Score
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Both Teams to Score
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$178
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 2.5 goals scored
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 2.5 goals scored
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 1.5
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 1.5
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-4.5)
25.4%
Polymarket 25.4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 50.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $197 (1.97x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-4.5)
Last price
25.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$197 (1.97x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-3.5)
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-3.5)
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-5.5)
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-5.5)
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 3.5
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 2.5
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 2.5
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC)
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC)
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 4.5
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 5.5
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 3.5
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 3.5
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 4.5
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 4.5
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 5.5
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 5.5
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 3.5
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 3.5
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)
12.6%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 4.5
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 4.5
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 3.5 goals scored
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 3.5 goals scored
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 6.5
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 6.5
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 7.5
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 7.5
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 5.5
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 5.5
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 4.5 goals scored
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 4.5 goals scored
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Kalshi
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 5.5 goals scored
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 5.5 goals scored
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1st Half O/U 0.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$894
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 2.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 3.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 4.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 4.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Both Teams to Score in First Half
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Both Teams to Score in First Half
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kleague.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5
  • O/U 0.5
  • Over 0.5 goals scored

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen: Total Goals". Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5 leads at 100%. Next is O/U 0.5 at 100%. $25K has traded across 55 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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