The Prediction Markets

Gold Glove: NL Second Baseman

Closes
Dec 8, 2026, in 46 days
Traded
$6K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

JJ Wetherholt 41.5%

Next is Tie/Co-Winners at 40.7%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

JJ Wetherholt 41.5%Tie/Co-Winners 40.7%Brice Turang 11.9%Nasim Nuñez 1.7%Brandon Lowe 0.9%4 others 3.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
JJ Wetherholt
41.5%
Kalshi 49%(41.5% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
JJ Wetherholt
Last price
49%
Fair, margin removed
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie/Co-Winners
40.7%
Kalshi 48%(40.7% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie/Co-Winners
Last price
48%
Fair, margin removed
40.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brice Turang
11.9%
Kalshi 14%(11.9% fair)polled, 25s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brice Turang
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
11.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nasim Nuñez
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nasim Nuñez
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$268
Trade this on Kalshi
Brandon Lowe
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Lowe
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Kalshi
Ketel Marte
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ketel Marte
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Arraez
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Arraez
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt McLain
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt McLain
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Hoerner
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Hoerner
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$776
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • JJ Wetherholt
  • Tie/Co-Winners
  • Brice Turang

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Gold Glove: NL Second Baseman". JJ Wetherholt leads at 41.5%. Next is Tie/Co-Winners at 40.7%. $6K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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