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What the markets expect
Chicago C 98%
Next is Arizona at 48.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Chicago C98%98%3¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Chicago C98%Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Chicago C
98%
98%
3¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Chicago C
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago C
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $1K
Arizona48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Arizona48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Arizona
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Arizona
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Atlanta48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Atlanta48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Atlanta
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Atlanta
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Cincinnati48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Cincinnati48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Cincinnati
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Cincinnati
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Colorado48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Colorado48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Colorado
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Colorado
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colorado
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Los Angeles D48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Los Angeles D48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Los Angeles D
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Los Angeles D
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles D
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Miami48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Miami48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Miami
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Miami
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
New York M48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)New York M48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
New York M
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
New York M
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York M
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Philadelphia48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Philadelphia48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Philadelphia
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Philadelphia
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Pittsburgh48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Pittsburgh48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Pittsburgh
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Pittsburgh
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
San Diego48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)San Diego48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
San Diego
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
San Diego
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Diego
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
San Francisco48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)San Francisco48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
San Francisco
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
San Francisco
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Tie/Co-Winners48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Tie/Co-Winners48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Tie/Co-Winners
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Tie/Co-Winners
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Washington48.5%48.5%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Washington48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Washington
48.5%
48.5%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Washington
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Milwaukee3%3%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Milwaukee3%Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Milwaukee
3%
3%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Milwaukee
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $6
St. Louis2%2%— bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)St. Louis2%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
St. Louis
2%
2%
— bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
St. Louis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- St. Louis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $341
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Chicago C
- Arizona
- Atlanta
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Gold Glove: NL Team". Chicago C leads at 98%. Next is Arizona at 48.5%. $1K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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