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What the markets expect
Pau Cubarsi 94%
Next is Desire Doue at 3.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Pau Cubarsi94%95.2%94% fair94.3¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 41s ago96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Pau Cubarsi94%Polymarket 95.2%(94% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Pau Cubarsi
94%
95.2%
94% fair
94.3¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Pau Cubarsi
94%
Polymarket 95.2%(94% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pau Cubarsi
- Last price
- 95.2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 94.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $5K
Desire Doue3.1%3.1%— bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 41s ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Desire Doue3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Desire Doue
3.1%
3.1%
— bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Desire Doue
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Desire Doue
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $881
Warren Zaire-Emery0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Warren Zaire-Emery0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Warren Zaire-Emery
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Warren Zaire-Emery
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Warren Zaire-Emery
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $1K
Gianluca Prestianni0.3%0.3%— bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Gianluca Prestianni0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Gianluca Prestianni
0.3%
0.3%
— bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Gianluca Prestianni
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gianluca Prestianni
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $608
Estevao0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Estevao0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Estevao
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Estevao
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Estevao
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $644
Antonio Nusa0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Antonio Nusa0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Antonio Nusa
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Antonio Nusa
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antonio Nusa
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $527
Arda Guler0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Arda Guler0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Arda Guler
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Arda Guler
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arda Guler
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $640
Ayyoub Bouaddi0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ayyoub Bouaddi0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ayyoub Bouaddi
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ayyoub Bouaddi
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ayyoub Bouaddi
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $202
Charalampos Kostoulas0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Charalampos Kostoulas0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Charalampos Kostoulas
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Charalampos Kostoulas
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Charalampos Kostoulas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $194
Eli Junior Kroupi0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Eli Junior Kroupi0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Eli Junior Kroupi
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Eli Junior Kroupi
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Junior Kroupi
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $235
Show 23 more outcomesHide 23 outcomes
Endrick0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Endrick0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Endrick
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Endrick
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Endrick
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $565
Ethan Nwaneri0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ethan Nwaneri0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ethan Nwaneri
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ethan Nwaneri
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ethan Nwaneri
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $502
Finn Jeltsch0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Finn Jeltsch0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Finn Jeltsch
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Finn Jeltsch
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Finn Jeltsch
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $174
Franco Mastantuono0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Franco Mastantuono0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Franco Mastantuono
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Franco Mastantuono
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Franco Mastantuono
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $438
Geovany Quenda0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Geovany Quenda0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Geovany Quenda
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Geovany Quenda
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Geovany Quenda
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $461
Joane Gadou0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Joane Gadou0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Joane Gadou
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Joane Gadou
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Joane Gadou
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $174
Jobe Bellingham0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Jobe Bellingham0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Jobe Bellingham
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Jobe Bellingham
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jobe Bellingham
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $468
Jon Martin0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jon Martin0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jon Martin
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jon Martin
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jon Martin
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $194
Jorrel Hato0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jorrel Hato0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jorrel Hato
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jorrel Hato
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jorrel Hato
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $95
Kenan Yildiz0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Kenan Yildiz0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kenan Yildiz
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kenan Yildiz
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kenan Yildiz
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $440
Kerim Alajbegovic0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Kerim Alajbegovic0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kerim Alajbegovic
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kerim Alajbegovic
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kerim Alajbegovic
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $404
Konstantinos Karetsas0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Konstantinos Karetsas0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Konstantinos Karetsas
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Konstantinos Karetsas
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Konstantinos Karetsas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $193
Leny Yoro0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Leny Yoro0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Leny Yoro
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Leny Yoro
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leny Yoro
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $517
Lennart Karl0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Lennart Karl0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Lennart Karl
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Lennart Karl
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lennart Karl
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $355
Luka Vuskovic0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Luka Vuskovic0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Luka Vuskovic
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Luka Vuskovic
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luka Vuskovic
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $204
Marc Bernal0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Marc Bernal0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Marc Bernal
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Marc Bernal
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marc Bernal
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $343
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Myles Lewis-Skelly0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Myles Lewis-Skelly
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Myles Lewis-Skelly
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Myles Lewis-Skelly
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $450
Rayan0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Rayan0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rayan
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rayan
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rayan
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $489
Rodrigo Mora0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Rodrigo Mora0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rodrigo Mora
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rodrigo Mora
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rodrigo Mora
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $475
Said El Mala0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Said El Mala0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Said El Mala
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Said El Mala
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Said El Mala
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $293
Victor Froholdt0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Victor Froholdt0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Victor Froholdt
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Victor Froholdt
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Victor Froholdt
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $280
Xavi Espart0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Xavi Espart0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Xavi Espart
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Xavi Espart
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Xavi Espart
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $186
Yan Diomande0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 41s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Yan Diomande0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yan Diomande
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Yan Diomande
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan Diomande
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $96
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Pau Cubarsi
- Desire Doue
- Warren Zaire-Emery
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Golden Boy 2026 Winner". Pau Cubarsi leads at 94%. Next is Desire Doue at 3.1%. $18K has traded across 33 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Golden Boy award winner. If no 2026 Golden Boy award winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tuttosport. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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