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What the markets expect
Julianne Moore 95%
Next is Carey Mulligan at 89%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Julianne Moore95%95%94¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Julianne Moore95%Polymarket 95%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Julianne Moore
95%
95%
94¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Julianne Moore
95%
Polymarket 95%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julianne Moore
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
Carey Mulligan89%Not listed89%80¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 29s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Carey Mulligan89%Kalshi 89%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Carey Mulligan
89%
Not listed
89%
80¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Carey Mulligan
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carey Mulligan
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Sally Field80%Not listed80%60¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 29s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Sally Field80%Kalshi 80%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Sally Field
80%
Not listed
80%
60¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Sally Field
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sally Field
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $200
Sarah Pidgeon80%Not listed80%70¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 29s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Sarah Pidgeon80%Kalshi 80%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Sarah Pidgeon
80%
Not listed
80%
70¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Sarah Pidgeon
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sarah Pidgeon
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Inde Navarrette79%79%78¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Inde Navarrette79%Polymarket 79%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Inde Navarrette
79%
79%
78¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
80¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Inde Navarrette
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inde Navarrette
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
Florence Pugh75%Not listed75%75¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 29s ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Florence Pugh75%Kalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Florence Pugh
75%
Not listed
75%
75¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Florence Pugh
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florence Pugh
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $210
Olivia Wilde69%69%53¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed85¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Olivia Wilde69%Polymarket 69%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Olivia Wilde
69%
69%
53¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
85¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Olivia Wilde
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Olivia Wilde
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $2K
Sandra Hüller64.5%64.5%61¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed68¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Sandra Hüller64.5%Polymarket 64.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Sandra Hüller
64.5%
64.5%
61¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
68¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Sandra Hüller
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sandra Hüller
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $3K
Ella Beatty55%Not listed55%55¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 29s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Ella Beatty55%Kalshi 55%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Ella Beatty
55%
Not listed
55%
55¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Ella Beatty
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ella Beatty
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $210
Virginie Efira47.5%47.5%46¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Virginie Efira47.5%Polymarket 47.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Virginie Efira
47.5%
47.5%
46¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Virginie Efira
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Virginie Efira
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $4K
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Renate Reinsve47%47%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Renate Reinsve47%Polymarket 47%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Renate Reinsve
47%
47%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Renate Reinsve
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Renate Reinsve
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $3K
Amy Adams45%Not listed45%25¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 29s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Amy Adams45%Kalshi 45%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Amy Adams
45%
Not listed
45%
25¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Amy Adams
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amy Adams
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $940
Rebecca Hall45%Not listed45%35¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 29s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Rebecca Hall45%Kalshi 45%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Rebecca Hall
45%
Not listed
45%
35¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Rebecca Hall
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rebecca Hall
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Ruth Madeley44%44%42¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Ruth Madeley44%Polymarket 44%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Ruth Madeley
44%
44%
42¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Ruth Madeley
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ruth Madeley
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $792
Rosalind Eleazar12.5%12.5%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Rosalind Eleazar12.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Rosalind Eleazar
12.5%
12.5%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Rosalind Eleazar
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rosalind Eleazar
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $2K
Emily Blunt12.1%12.1%10.5¢ bid, 13.6¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed13.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $735 (7.35x)Emily Blunt12.1%Polymarket 12.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 13.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $735 (7.35x)
Emily Blunt
12.1%
12.1%
10.5¢ bid, 13.6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
13.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $735 (7.35x)
Emily Blunt
12.1%
Polymarket 12.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 13.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $735 (7.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Emily Blunt
- Last price
- 12.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $735 (7.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
Linda Cardellini10.5%Not listed10.5%1¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 29s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Linda Cardellini10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Linda Cardellini
10.5%
Not listed
10.5%
1¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Linda Cardellini
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Linda Cardellini
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Odessa A’zion10.5%Not listed10.5%1¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 29s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Odessa A’zion10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Odessa A’zion
10.5%
Not listed
10.5%
1¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Odessa A’zion
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Odessa A’zion
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Daisy Edgar-Jones8.8%8.8%4.9¢ bid, 12.6¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed12.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $794 (7.94x)Daisy Edgar-Jones8.8%Polymarket 8.8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 12.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $794 (7.94x)
Daisy Edgar-Jones
8.8%
8.8%
4.9¢ bid, 12.6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
12.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $794 (7.94x)
Daisy Edgar-Jones
8.8%
Polymarket 8.8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 12.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $794 (7.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daisy Edgar-Jones
- Last price
- 8.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $794 (7.94x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mikey Madison8.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Mikey Madison8.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Mikey Madison
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Mikey Madison
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mikey Madison
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $556
Michelle Williams8.1%8.1%6.4¢ bid, 9.7¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed9.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)Michelle Williams8.1%Polymarket 8.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Michelle Williams
8.1%
8.1%
6.4¢ bid, 9.7¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
9.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Michelle Williams
8.1%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michelle Williams
- Last price
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,031 (10.3x)
- Volume
- $898
Natalie Portman6.4%6.4%5.3¢ bid, 7.5¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed7.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)Natalie Portman6.4%Polymarket 6.4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Natalie Portman
6.4%
6.4%
5.3¢ bid, 7.5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
7.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Natalie Portman
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Natalie Portman
- Last price
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,333 (13.3x)
- Volume
- $813
Sophie Okonedo6.2%6.2%4.7¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed7.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)Sophie Okonedo6.2%Polymarket 6.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Sophie Okonedo
6.2%
6.2%
4.7¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
7.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Sophie Okonedo
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sophie Okonedo
- Last price
- 6.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cynthia Erivo6%6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cynthia Erivo6%Polymarket 6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cynthia Erivo
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cynthia Erivo
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cynthia Erivo
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Michelle Monaghan5.8%5.8%2.9¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed8.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)Michelle Monaghan5.8%Polymarket 5.8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Michelle Monaghan
5.8%
5.8%
2.9¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
8.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Michelle Monaghan
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michelle Monaghan
- Last price
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $60
Dakota Johnson5.7%5.7%2.6¢ bid, 8.8¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed8.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)Dakota Johnson5.7%Polymarket 5.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Dakota Johnson
5.7%
5.7%
2.6¢ bid, 8.8¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
8.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Dakota Johnson
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dakota Johnson
- Last price
- 5.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,136 (11.4x)
- Volume
- $302
Penélope Cruz5.5%5.5%3.3¢ bid, 7.6¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed7.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)Penélope Cruz5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Penélope Cruz
5.5%
5.5%
3.3¢ bid, 7.6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
7.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Penélope Cruz
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Penélope Cruz
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,316 (13.2x)
- Volume
- $618
Joan Collins5.1%5.1%4.2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Joan Collins5.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Joan Collins
5.1%
5.1%
4.2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Joan Collins
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Joan Collins
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Tessa Thompson5%Not listed5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 29s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Tessa Thompson5%Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tessa Thompson
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tessa Thompson
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tessa Thompson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Anne Hathaway4.6%4.6%2.3¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Anne Hathaway4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Anne Hathaway
4.6%
4.6%
2.3¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Anne Hathaway
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anne Hathaway
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $958
Laura Linney4.6%4.6%2.1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Laura Linney4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Laura Linney
4.6%
4.6%
2.1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Laura Linney
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Laura Linney
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $301
Zendaya4.4%4.4%3.2¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Zendaya4.4%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Zendaya
4.4%
4.4%
3.2¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Zendaya
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zendaya
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $281
Scarlett Johansson3.3%3.3%2¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed4.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Scarlett Johansson3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Scarlett Johansson
3.3%
3.3%
2¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
4.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Scarlett Johansson
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scarlett Johansson
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $605
Shailene Woodley2.9%2.9%0.3¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Shailene Woodley2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Shailene Woodley
2.9%
2.9%
0.3¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Shailene Woodley
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shailene Woodley
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $453
Lily Gladstone1.7%1.7%1¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed2.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)Lily Gladstone1.7%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Lily Gladstone
1.7%
1.7%
1¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
2.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Lily Gladstone
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lily Gladstone
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
- Volume
- $673
Kirsten Dunst1.2%1.2%0.2¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 29s agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Kirsten Dunst1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Kirsten Dunst
1.2%
1.2%
0.2¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Kirsten Dunst
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kirsten Dunst
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $976
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Julianne Moore
- Carey Mulligan
- Sally Field
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Julianne Moore for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Limited Series". Julianne Moore leads at 95%. Next is Carey Mulligan at 89%. $40K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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