The Prediction Markets

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama

Closes
Dec 8, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$29K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Keri Russell 88.5%

Next is Zendaya at 85%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Keri Russell
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keri Russell
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zendaya
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chase Infiniti
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Infiniti
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
DEACTIVATED
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
DEACTIVATED
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Emma D’Arcy
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Emma D’Arcy
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Carrie Coon
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carrie Coon
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michelle Pfeiffer
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michelle Pfeiffer
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Kalshi
Rebecca Ferguson
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rebecca Ferguson
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Myha’la
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Myha’la
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicole Kidman
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicole Kidman
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cynthia Erivo
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cynthia Erivo
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kathy Bates
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kathy Bates
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Keri Russell
  • Zendaya
  • Chase Infiniti

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama". Keri Russell leads at 88.5%. Next is Zendaya at 85%. $29K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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