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What the markets expect
The Odyssey 97.4%
Next is Wildwood at 96%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
The Odyssey97.4%97.4%95.6¢ bid, 99.1¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed99.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)The Odyssey97.4%Polymarket 97.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
The Odyssey
97.4%
97.4%
95.6¢ bid, 99.1¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
99.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
The Odyssey
97.4%
Polymarket 97.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- The Odyssey
- Last price
- 97.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 95.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $4K
Wildwood96%Not listed96%86¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 22s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Wildwood96%Kalshi 96%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Wildwood
96%
Not listed
96%
86¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Wildwood
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wildwood
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $203
La Bola Negra94.5%94.5%93¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)La Bola Negra94.5%Polymarket 94.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
La Bola Negra
94.5%
94.5%
93¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
La Bola Negra
94.5%
Polymarket 94.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- La Bola Negra
- Last price
- 94.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $5K
Toy Story 592%Not listed92%85¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 22s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Toy Story 592%Kalshi 92%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Toy Story 5
92%
Not listed
92%
85¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Toy Story 5
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toy Story 5
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Wild Horse Nine91.5%91.5%90¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Wild Horse Nine91.5%Polymarket 91.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Wild Horse Nine
91.5%
91.5%
90¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
93¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Wild Horse Nine
91.5%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Wild Horse Nine
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $7K
Dune: Part Three86.5%86.5%86¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Dune: Part Three86.5%Polymarket 86.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Dune: Part Three
86.5%
86.5%
86¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Dune: Part Three
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dune: Part Three
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $8K
Hoppers80%Not listed80%68¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 22s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Hoppers80%Kalshi 80%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Hoppers
80%
Not listed
80%
68¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Hoppers
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hoppers
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $200
The Debut77.5%77.5%76¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed79¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $127 (1.27x)The Debut77.5%Polymarket 77.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
The Debut
77.5%
77.5%
76¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
79¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
The Debut
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- The Debut
- Last price
- 77.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $4K
Project Hail Mary76.5%76.5%75¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Project Hail Mary76.5%Polymarket 76.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Project Hail Mary
76.5%
76.5%
75¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Project Hail Mary
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Project Hail Mary
- Last price
- 76.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $4K
Tangles75%Not listed75%56¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 22s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Tangles75%Kalshi 75%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Tangles
75%
Not listed
75%
56¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Tangles
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tangles
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $205
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
You Can See Everything72%72%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)You Can See Everything72%Polymarket 72%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
You Can See Everything
72%
72%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
You Can See Everything
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- You Can See Everything
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $24K
Forgotten Island60%Not listed60%55¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 22s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Forgotten Island60%Kalshi 60%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Forgotten Island
60%
Not listed
60%
55¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Forgotten Island
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Forgotten Island
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $200
The Invite58%58%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)The Invite58%Polymarket 58%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
The Invite
58%
58%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
59¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
The Invite
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- The Invite
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $8K
Ray Gunn50%Not listed50%47¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 22s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Ray Gunn50%Kalshi 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Ray Gunn
50%
Not listed
50%
47¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Ray Gunn
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ray Gunn
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $1K
I Play Rocky42%42%38¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)I Play Rocky42%Polymarket 42%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
I Play Rocky
42%
42%
38¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
I Play Rocky
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- I Play Rocky
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $2K
All of a Sudden37%37%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)All of a Sudden37%Polymarket 37%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
All of a Sudden
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
All of a Sudden
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- All of a Sudden
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $2K
Fjord35%35%34¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Fjord35%Polymarket 35%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Fjord
35%
35%
34¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Fjord
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fjord
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $4K
Obsession33.5%33.5%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Obsession33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Obsession
33.5%
33.5%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Obsession
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Obsession
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $4K
Elsinore30.5%30.5%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Elsinore30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Elsinore
30.5%
30.5%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Elsinore
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elsinore
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $608
Minions & Monsters25%Not listed25%11¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Minions & Monsters25%Kalshi 25%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Minions & Monsters
25%
Not listed
25%
11¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Minions & Monsters
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minions & Monsters
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $426
The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%20%19¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed21¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $476 (4.76x)The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%Polymarket 20%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
20%
20%
19¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
21¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $6K
Digger19%19%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Digger19%Polymarket 19%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Digger
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Digger
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Digger
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $21K
Behemoth!17.5%17.5%16¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Behemoth!17.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Behemoth!
17.5%
17.5%
16¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Behemoth!
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Behemoth!
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $101
Hexed15%Not listed15%5¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Hexed15%Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Hexed
15%
Not listed
15%
5¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Hexed
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hexed
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Julián15%Not listed15%5¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Julián15%Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Julián
15%
Not listed
15%
5¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Julián
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julián
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom15%Not listed15%9¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 22s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom15%Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom
15%
Not listed
15%
9¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $330
Michael11%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Michael11%Polymarket 11%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Michael
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Michael
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Avengers: Doomsday8.3%8.3%6.6¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Avengers: Doomsday8.3%Polymarket 8.3%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Avengers: Doomsday
8.3%
8.3%
6.6¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
9.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Avengers: Doomsday
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avengers: Doomsday
- Last price
- 8.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
The Social Reckoning5.4%5.4%3.9¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed6.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)The Social Reckoning5.4%Polymarket 5.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
The Social Reckoning
5.4%
5.4%
3.9¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
6.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
The Social Reckoning
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- The Social Reckoning
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $8K
Fatherland5%5%3.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed6.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Fatherland5%Polymarket 5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Fatherland
5%
5%
3.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
6.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Fatherland
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fatherland
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Disclosure Day4.8%4.8%3.6¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Disclosure Day4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Disclosure Day
4.8%
4.8%
3.6¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Disclosure Day
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Disclosure Day
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $12K
The Drama2.9%2.9%0.4¢ bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed5.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)The Drama2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
The Drama
2.9%
2.9%
0.4¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
5.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
The Drama
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- The Drama
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $747
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: oscars.org
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- The Odyssey
- Wildwood
- La Bola Negra
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list The Odyssey for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Animated". The Odyssey leads at 97.4%. Next is Wildwood at 96%. $136K has traded across 32 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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