The Prediction Markets

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor on TV

Closes
Dec 8, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$253K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Matt Damon 94.2%

Next is John Malkovich at 87.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Matt Damon
94.2%
Polymarket 94.2%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 95.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Damon
Last price
94.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.8¢
Sell Yes
92.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
John Malkovich
87.5%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Malkovich
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Scott
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Scott
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
David Harbour
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Harbour
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Stephen Root
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stephen Root
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Ball
66.5%
Kalshi 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Ball
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tom Cruise
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Cruise
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
John Leguizamo
56.1%
Polymarket 4%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 73.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Leguizamo
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$477
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
John Leguizamo
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Guitarricadelafuente
54.4%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 71.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guitarricadelafuente
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
10.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$901
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Guitarricadelafuente
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jason Bateman
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Bateman
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 41 more outcomes
John Turturro
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Turturro
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Shawn Hatosy
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shawn Hatosy
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul Giamatti
43.9%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 93%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul Giamatti
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Paul Giamatti
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Ryan Gosling
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Gosling
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Garfield
42.2%
Polymarket 31%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 70.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Garfield
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Garfield
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Offerman
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Offerman
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charles MeltonArb
33.9%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 2.9%polled, 57s agoKalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$872
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 72¢ nets 7160 bps before fees.

Edward Norton
30.5%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 55.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Edward Norton
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$922
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Edward Norton
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Richard Gadd
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Gadd
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthony Ippolito
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Ippolito
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert Pattinson
24.8%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 6.6%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 31.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Pattinson
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Pattinson
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Pattinson
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Rockwell
23.8%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 6.9%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 73.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Rockwell
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
6.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Rockwell
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Rockwell
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$858
Trade this on Polymarket
Sebastian Stan
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sebastian Stan
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaafar Jackson
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaafar Jackson
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pedro Pascal
14.6%
Polymarket 14.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pedro Pascal
Last price
14.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
John Goodman
12.8%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 16.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Goodman
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
John Goodman
Last price
16.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.1¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$585 (5.85x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Colman DomingoArb
11.1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 20%polled, 57s agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colman Domingo
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Colman Domingo
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Colman Domingo
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$319
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 15¢ and selling on Polymarket at 17¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Timothée Chalamet
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Timothée Chalamet
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Riz Ahmed
10.4%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 13.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Riz Ahmed
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Riz Ahmed
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paul W. Downs
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul W. Downs
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Skyler Gisondo
5.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Skyler Gisondo
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Skyler Gisondo
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$474
Trade this on Polymarket
Antonio Banderas
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antonio Banderas
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Steve Buscemi
5.1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 11%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Buscemi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Buscemi
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Adam Driver
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Driver
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh O'Connor
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh O'Connor
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$225
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeremy Strong
4.2%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 11.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Strong
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Strong
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$158
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Strong
Last price
11.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Miles Teller
4.1%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 5.4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miles Teller
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Miles Teller
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket
Channing Tatum
4%
Polymarket 2%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 6.8%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Channing Tatum
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Channing Tatum
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$173
Trade this on Polymarket
James Ortiz
3.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 6.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Ortiz
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
James Ortiz
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$224
Trade this on Polymarket
Javier Bardem
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Javier Bardem
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$499
Trade this on Polymarket
Himesh Patel
3.5%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 4.4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Himesh Patel
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Himesh Patel
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jesse Plemons
3.4%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 2.7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesse Plemons
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jesse Plemons
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Scott
2.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 3.4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
3.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Guy Pearce
2.6%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 4.7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guy Pearce
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$714
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Guy Pearce
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$473
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Fassbender
2.6%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 7.3%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Fassbender
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Fassbender
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.5¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$952 (9.52x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert Aramayo
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Aramayo
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brad Pitt
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brad Pitt
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom Holland
2.4%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 3%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Holland
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$924
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Holland
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert De Niro
2.1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert De Niro
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Robert De Niro
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$658
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Craig
1.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 57s agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Craig
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Craig
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Travis Scott
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Charles Melton on Polymarket at 0.4¢, sell on Kalshi at 72¢ (7160 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 21, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: oscars.org
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 21, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Matt Damon
  • John Malkovich
  • Andrew Scott

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Matt Damon for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor on TV". Matt Damon leads at 94.2%. Next is John Malkovich at 87.5%. $253K has traded across 51 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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