The Prediction Markets

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV

Closes
Dec 8, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$121K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Julianne Moore 95%

Next is Linda Cardellini at 85%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Julianne Moore
95%
Polymarket 95%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julianne Moore
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Linda Cardellini
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Linda Cardellini
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$326
Trade this on Kalshi
Hannah Einbinder
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hannah Einbinder
Last price
84.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Katherine LaNasa
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Katherine LaNasa
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michelle Pfeiffer
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michelle Pfeiffer
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Allison Janney
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Allison Janney
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Olivia Wilde
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Wilde
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Samantha Morton
62.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 82%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Samantha Morton
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Samantha Morton
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$974
Trade this on Polymarket
Amanda Seyfried
51.4%
Polymarket 30.2%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 58.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 33.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $299 (2.99x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amanda Seyfried
Last price
30.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33.5¢
Sell Yes
26.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$299 (2.99x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Amanda Seyfried
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anne Hathaway
49.3%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 88%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 4.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anne Hathaway
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Anne Hathaway
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Anne Hathaway
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$958
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 38 more outcomes
Renate Reinsve
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Renate Reinsve
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Laura Linney
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Laura Linney
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.6¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Ruth Madeley
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ruth Madeley
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$792
Trade this on Polymarket
Virginie Efira
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginie Efira
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Penélope Cruz
41.5%
Polymarket 11%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 76%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 6.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Penélope Cruz
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Penélope Cruz
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Penélope Cruz
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$568
Trade this on Polymarket
Kate O'FlynnArb
40.1%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 41.5%polled, 37s agoKalshi 97%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kate O'Flynn
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kate O'Flynn
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kate O’Flynn
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 7840 bps before fees.

Inde Navarrette
39.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 1.1%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 78.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inde Navarrette
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$766
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Inde Navarrette
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$486
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Inde Navarrette
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sandra Hüller
39.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 28%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 63.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sandra Hüller
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$624
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sandra Hüller
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sandra Hüller
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Olivia Colman
22.1%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 31.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Colman
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Colman
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
Mariana di Girolamo
22.1%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 29.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mariana di Girolamo
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$493
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Mariana di Girolamo
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tao Okamoto
17.1%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 61.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tao Okamoto
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Tao Okamoto
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$654
Trade this on Polymarket
Youn Yuh-jung
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Youn Yuh-jung
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Parker Posey
14.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 19%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Posey
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Posey
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Merritt Wever
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Merritt Wever
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Polymarket
Rosalind Eleazar
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rosalind Eleazar
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Danielle Deadwyler
11.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 22.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danielle Deadwyler
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Danielle Deadwyler
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43.2¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$231 (2.31x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Emily Blunt
10.9%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emily Blunt
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
10.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michelle Williams
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michelle Williams
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.2¢
Sell Yes
6.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,087 (10.9x)
Volume
$898
Trade this on Polymarket
Constance Zimmer
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Constance Zimmer
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jessica Williams
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jessica Williams
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joy Sunday
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joy Sunday
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikey Madison
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikey Madison
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$556
Trade this on Polymarket
Natalie Portman
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Natalie Portman
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$813
Trade this on Polymarket
Sophie Okonedo
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sophie Okonedo
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cynthia Erivo
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cynthia Erivo
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Zendaya
6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 9.5%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 4.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Zendaya
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$281
Trade this on Polymarket
Michelle Monaghan
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michelle Monaghan
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Daisy Edgar-Jones
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daisy Edgar-Jones
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joan Collins
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joan Collins
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dakota Johnson
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dakota Johnson
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Polymarket
Scarlett Johansson
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scarlett Johansson
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Polymarket
Shailene Woodley
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shailene Woodley
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$453
Trade this on Polymarket
Gemma Chan
2.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gemma Chan
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gemma Chan
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Isabella Rossellini
2.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 5.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isabella Rossellini
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$244
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Isabella Rossellini
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Lily Gladstone
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lily Gladstone
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Margaret Qualley
1.7%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Margaret Qualley
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$427
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Margaret Qualley
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Betty Gilpin
1.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 37s agoPolymarket 4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Betty Gilpin
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$415
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Betty Gilpin
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
Kirsten Dunst
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirsten Dunst
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$976
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Kate O'Flynn on Polymarket at 2.6¢, sell on Kalshi at 81¢ (7840 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: oscars.org
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Julianne Moore
  • Linda Cardellini
  • Hannah Einbinder

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Julianne Moore for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV". Julianne Moore leads at 95%. Next is Linda Cardellini at 85%. $121K has traded across 48 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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