The Prediction Markets

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Drama

Closes
Dec 8, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$17K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

The Pitt 98%

Next is The Diplomat at 91.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
The Pitt
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Pitt
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi
The Diplomat
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Slow Horses
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slow Horses
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$455
Trade this on Kalshi
Paradise
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paradise
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$401
Trade this on Kalshi
The Gilded Age
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Gilded Age
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
House of the Dragon
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
House of the Dragon
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Your Friends & Neighbors
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Your Friends & Neighbors
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$232
Trade this on Kalshi
Euphoria
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Euphoria
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Pluribus
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pluribus
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Pitt
  • The Diplomat
  • Slow Horses

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Drama". The Pitt leads at 98%. Next is The Diplomat at 91.5%. $17K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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