The Prediction Markets

Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$208K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Atlanta 64.8%

Next is 2H Moneyline at 49.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Atlanta
64.8%
Kalshi 66%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 78%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 49%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
2H Moneyline
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
2H Moneyline
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
4Q Moneyline
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
4Q Moneyline
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Golden State
35.6%
Kalshi 35%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 24%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 52%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: wnba.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Atlanta
  • 2H Moneyline
  • 4Q Moneyline

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Atlanta for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream". Atlanta leads at 64.8%. Next is 2H Moneyline at 49.5%. $208K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 8:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. All markets associated with event "wnba-gsv-atl-2026-10-22" will refer to "wnba-gsv-atl-2026-10-21" for market resolution.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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