The Prediction Markets

Golden State vs Phoenix: Spread

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points 73.5%

Next is Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points at 71.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points
71.5%
Kalshi 71.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 4.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 5.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$109
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 7.5 points
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$794
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 8.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 10.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 23 more outcomes
Phoenix wins by over 11.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 13.5 points
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 15.5 points
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 15.5 points
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 17.5 points
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 19.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 19.5 points
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 2.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 4.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 21.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 21.5 points
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 23.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 6.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 25.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 25.5 points
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 8.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 27.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 10.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 29.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 29.5 points
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 12.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 12.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix wins by over 31.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix wins by over 31.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 14.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 16.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$64
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 18.5 points
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 18.5 points
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 20.5 points
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State wins by over 22.5 points
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State wins by over 22.5 points
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
  • Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points
  • Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden State vs Phoenix: Spread". Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points leads at 73.5%. Next is Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points at 71.5%. $1K has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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