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What the markets expect
Over 197.5 points 92%
Next is Over 199.5 points at 88.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 197.5 points92%92%89¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, just now92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 197.5 points92%Kalshi 92%polled, just nowBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 197.5 points
92%
92%
89¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, just now
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 197.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, just nowBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 197.5 points
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $300
Over 199.5 points88.5%88.5%86¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, just now91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 199.5 points88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 199.5 points
88.5%
88.5%
86¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, just now
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 199.5 points
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 199.5 points
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Over 201.5 points84.5%84.5%82¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, just now87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Over 201.5 points84.5%Kalshi 84.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 201.5 points
84.5%
84.5%
82¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, just now
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 201.5 points
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 201.5 points
- Last price
- 84.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Over 203.5 points81.5%81.5%79¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, just now84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Over 203.5 points81.5%Kalshi 81.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Over 203.5 points
81.5%
81.5%
79¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, just now
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Over 203.5 points
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 203.5 points
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Over 205.5 points78%78%76¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, just now80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Over 205.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 205.5 points
78%
78%
76¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, just now
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 205.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 205.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Over 207.5 points75%75%73¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, just now77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 207.5 points75%Kalshi 75%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 207.5 points
75%
75%
73¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, just now
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 207.5 points
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 207.5 points
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Over 209.5 points71%71%69¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, just now73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 209.5 points71%Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 209.5 points
71%
71%
69¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, just now
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 209.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Over 211.5 points67.5%67.5%66¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, just now69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Over 211.5 points67.5%Kalshi 67.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 211.5 points
67.5%
67.5%
66¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, just now
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 211.5 points
67.5%
Kalshi 67.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Over 213.5 points63%63%61¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, just now65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Over 213.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 213.5 points
63%
63%
61¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, just now
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 213.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Over 215.5 points59.5%59.5%57¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, just now62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Over 215.5 points59.5%Kalshi 59.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 215.5 points
59.5%
59.5%
57¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, just now
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 215.5 points
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 217.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, just now56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 217.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 217.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, just now
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 217.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Over 219.5 points51%51%50¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, just now52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 219.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 219.5 points
51%
51%
50¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, just now
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 219.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
Over 221.5 points47%47%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, just now47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Over 221.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 221.5 points
47%
47%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, just now
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 221.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Over 223.5 points43%43%41¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, just now45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 223.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 223.5 points
43%
43%
41¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, just now
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 223.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Over 225.5 points41%41%36¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, just now41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 225.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 225.5 points
41%
41%
36¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, just now
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 225.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 227.5 points35.5%35.5%33¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, just now38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 227.5 points35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 227.5 points
35.5%
35.5%
33¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, just now
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 227.5 points
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Over 229.5 points31%31%29¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, just now34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 229.5 points31%Kalshi 31%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 229.5 points
31%
31%
29¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, just now
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 229.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Over 231.5 points29%29%26¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, just now30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 231.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 231.5 points
29%
29%
26¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, just now
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 231.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 233.5 points25%25%22¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, just now27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 233.5 points25%Kalshi 25%polled, just nowBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 233.5 points
25%
25%
22¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, just now
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 233.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, just nowBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Over 235.5 points23%23%19¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 235.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 235.5 points
23%
23%
19¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 235.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Over 237.5 points18%18%17¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, just now19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 237.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 237.5 points
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, just now
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 237.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 239.5 points15.5%15.5%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 239.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 239.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 239.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Over 241.5 points13.5%13.5%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, just now15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 241.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 241.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, just now
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 241.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Over 243.5 points12.5%12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, just now13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 243.5 points12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 243.5 points
12.5%
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, just now
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 243.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Over 245.5 points12%12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, just now13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 245.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 245.5 points
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, just now
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 245.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Over 247.5 points10%10%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 247.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 247.5 points
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 247.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Over 249.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 249.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 249.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 249.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 251.5 points6.5%6.5%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 251.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 251.5 points
6.5%
6.5%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 251.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 253.5 points6.5%6.5%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 253.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 253.5 points
6.5%
6.5%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 253.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 253.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 197.5 points
- Over 199.5 points
- Over 201.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Golden State vs Phoenix: Total Points". Over 197.5 points leads at 92%. Next is Over 199.5 points at 88.5%. $2K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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