The Prediction Markets

Golfers to Compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027

Closes
Apr 8, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$53K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Phil Mickelson 65%

Next is Anthony Kim at 54%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Phil Mickelson
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phil Mickelson
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthony Kim
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Kim
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dustin Johnson
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dustin Johnson
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryson DeChambeau
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryson DeChambeau
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Smith
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameron Smith
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Byeong Hun An
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Byeong Hun An
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dean Burmester
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dean Burmester
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Elvis Smylie
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elvis Smylie
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Thomas Detry
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thomas Detry
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joaquin Niemann
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joaquin Niemann
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Sergio Garcia
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sergio Garcia
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
David Puig
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyrrell Hatton
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jon Rahm
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Abraham Ancer
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Abraham Ancer
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$909
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, LIV Golf, The Wall Street Journal

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Phil Mickelson
  • Anthony Kim
  • Dustin Johnson

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golfers to Compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027". Phil Mickelson leads at 65%. Next is Anthony Kim at 54%. $53K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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