The Prediction Markets

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance

Closes
Nov 1, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

The Fate of Ophelia 75%

Next is the cure at 72%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
The Fate of Ophelia
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Fate of Ophelia
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
the cure
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
the cure
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Aperture
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aperture
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Less Than A Lover
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Less Than A Lover
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Risk It All
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Risk It All
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Chanel
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chanel
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FEVER DREAM
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
FEVER DREAM
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
iloveitiloveitiloveit
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
iloveitiloveitiloveit
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mature
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mature
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Speed Demon
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Speed Demon
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
Zoo
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zoo
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
hate that i made you love me
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
hate that i made you love me
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hit The Wall
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hit The Wall
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sauvignon Blanc
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sauvignon Blanc
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Be Her
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Be Her
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Here All Night
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Here All Night
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Fate of Ophelia
  • the cure
  • Aperture

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for " Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance". The Fate of Ophelia leads at 75%. Next is the cure at 72%. $11K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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